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College games

Alabama at Vanderbilt

#7 Alabama7-2
93%
Vanderbilt4-5
7%

Alabama wins 9,257 of 10,000 sims. Market: 87%

Line
VAN +21.0mkt +17.0
Total
56mkt 50.5
VAN covers
37%
Over 50.5
64%
Median score
38–17

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Alabama wins93¢89¢
Vanderbilt wins7¢12¢

10,000 simulated final scores

VAN covers +17.0 in 37%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market VAN +17.0← ALA wins by moreVAN wins by more →
VAN covers ALA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.