Baylor at BYU · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM EST

Baylor6-3

39%

#12 BYU7-2

61%

BYU wins 6,110 of 10,000 sims. Market: 72%

Line: BYU −4.0mkt −7.5
Total: 52mkt 49.5
BYU covers: 40%
Over 49.5: 55%
Median score: 24–28

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Baylor wins	39¢	28¢
BYU wins	61¢	73¢

10,000 simulated final scores

BYU covers −7.5 in 40%

BYU covers BAY coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.