Duke at Miami · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM EST

Duke7-2

15%

#5 Miami8-1

85%

Miami wins 8,487 of 10,000 sims. Market: 81%

Line: MIA −15.0mkt −13.5
Total: 56mkt 54.5
MIA covers: 54%
Over 54.5: 54%
Median score: 20–36

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Duke wins	15¢	18¢
Miami wins	85¢	83¢

10,000 simulated final scores

MIA covers −13.5 in 54%

MIA covers DUKE coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.