Florida at Kentucky · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 6:15 PM EST

Florida5-4

37%

#13 Kentucky7-2

63%

Kentucky wins 6,339 of 10,000 sims. Market: 60%

Line: UK −5.0mkt −3.5
Total: 55mkt 53.0
UK covers: 54%
Over 53.0: 53%
Median score: 25–30

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Florida wins	37¢	40¢
Kentucky wins	63¢	61¢

10,000 simulated final scores

UK covers −3.5 in 54%

UK covers FLA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.