ClosingLine
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College games

Houston at Colorado

#14 Houston7-2
73%
Colorado3-6
27%

Houston wins 7,307 of 10,000 sims. Market: 76%

Line
COLO +9.0mkt +8.5
Total
48mkt 51.0
COLO covers
49%
Over 51.0
42%
Median score
29–20

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Houston wins73¢75¢
Colorado wins27¢26¢

10,000 simulated final scores

COLO covers +8.5 in 49%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market COLO +8.5← HOU wins by moreCOLO wins by more →
COLO covers HOU coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.