Michigan at Oregon · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM EST

Michigan5-4

17%

#18 Oregon6-3

83%

Oregon wins 8,280 of 10,000 sims. Market: 78%

Line: ORE −14.0mkt −10.5
Total: 46mkt 39.0
ORE covers: 59%
Over 39.0: 66%
Median score: 16–30

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Michigan wins	17¢	18¢
Oregon wins	83¢	85¢

10,000 simulated final scores

ORE covers −10.5 in 59%

ORE covers MICH coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.