ClosingLine
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College games

Missouri at Georgia

Missouri6-3
17%
#1 Georgia8-1
83%

Georgia wins 8,331 of 10,000 sims. Market: 84%

Line
UGA −14.0mkt −16.5
Total
51mkt 47.5
UGA covers
44%
Over 47.5
59%
Median score
18–33

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Missouri wins17¢14¢
Georgia wins83¢88¢

10,000 simulated final scores

UGA covers −16.5 in 44%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market UGA −16.5← MIZ wins by moreUGA wins by more →
UGA covers MIZ coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.