ClosingLine
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College games

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

#19 Ole Miss6-3
63%
Oklahoma5-4
37%

Ole Miss wins 6,251 of 10,000 sims. Market: 51%

Line
OU +4.0mkt −1.0
Total
50mkt 49.0
OU covers
35%
Over 49.0
52%
Median score
27–23

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Ole Miss wins63¢50¢
Oklahoma wins37¢51¢

10,000 simulated final scores

OU covers −1.0 in 35%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market OU −1.0← MISS wins by moreOU wins by more →
OU covers MISS coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.