ClosingLine
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College games

Oregon State at Boise State

Oregon State5-4
19%
#17 Boise State8-1
81%

Boise State wins 8,104 of 10,000 sims. Market: 81%

Line
BOIS −13.0mkt −14.5
Total
63mkt 63.5
BOIS covers
46%
Over 63.5
48%
Median score
25–38

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Oregon State wins19¢16¢
Boise State wins81¢85¢

10,000 simulated final scores

BOIS covers −14.5 in 46%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market BOIS −14.5← ORST wins by moreBOIS wins by more →
BOIS covers ORST coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.