Boise State wins 8,104 of 10,000 sims. Market: 81%
Line
BOIS −13.0mkt −14.5
Total
63mkt 63.5
BOIS covers
46%
Over 63.5
48%
Median score
25–38
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Kalshi
Oregon State wins
19¢
16¢
Boise State wins
81¢
85¢
10,000 simulated final scores
BOIS covers −14.5 in 46%
BOIS covers ORST coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.