Purdue at Iowa · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM EST

Purdue3-6

16%

#16 Iowa7-2

84%

Iowa wins 8,370 of 10,000 sims. Market: 87%

Line: IOWA −14.0mkt −17.5
Total: 51mkt 48.0
IOWA covers: 41%
Over 48.0: 56%
Median score: 18–33

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Purdue wins	16¢	12¢
Iowa wins	84¢	89¢

10,000 simulated final scores

IOWA covers −17.5 in 41%

IOWA covers PUR coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.