South Carolina wins 7,128 of 10,000 sims. Market: 73%
Line
ARK +8.0mkt +8.0
Total
55mkt 52.0
ARK covers
49%
Over 52.0
55%
Median score
31–23
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Kalshi
South Carolina wins
71¢
76¢
Arkansas wins
29¢
25¢
10,000 simulated final scores
ARK covers +8.0 in 49%
ARK covers SC coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
