ClosingLine
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College games

Tennessee at Texas A&M

#9 Tennessee7-2
62%
Texas A&M4-5
38%

Tennessee wins 6,237 of 10,000 sims. Market: 55%

Line
TA&M +5.0mkt +2.5
Total
49mkt 44.0
TA&M covers
43%
Over 44.0
61%
Median score
27–22

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Tennessee wins62¢57¢
Texas A&M wins38¢44¢

10,000 simulated final scores

TA&M covers +2.5 in 43%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market TA&M +2.5← TENN wins by moreTA&M wins by more →
TA&M covers TENN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.