Texas at LSU · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM EST

#8 Texas7-2

44%

#24 LSU6-3

56%

LSU wins 5,622 of 10,000 sims. Market: 61%

Line: LSU −3.0mkt −4.0
Total: 50mkt 46.0
LSU covers: 44%
Over 46.0: 58%
Median score: 24–26

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Texas wins	44¢	39¢
LSU wins	56¢	63¢

10,000 simulated final scores

LSU covers −4.0 in 44%

LSU covers TEX coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.