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College games

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

#10 Texas Tech8-1
54%
Oklahoma State6-3
46%

Texas Tech wins 5,436 of 10,000 sims. Market: 39%

Line
OKST +2.0mkt −3.0
Total
65mkt 73.5
OKST covers
36%
Over 73.5
30%
Median score
33–32

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
ContractSimsKalshi
Texas Tech wins54¢40¢
Oklahoma State wins46¢60¢

10,000 simulated final scores

OKST covers −3.0 in 36%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market OKST −3.0← TTU wins by moreOKST wins by more →
OKST covers TTU coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.