UNLV at New Mexico · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM EST

UNLV5-4

19%

#23 New Mexico8-1

81%

New Mexico wins 8,051 of 10,000 sims. Market: 83%

Line: UNM −12.0mkt −14.5
Total: 52mkt 46.5
UNM covers: 44%
Over 46.5: 63%
Median score: 20–32

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
UNLV wins	19¢	16¢
New Mexico wins	81¢	86¢

10,000 simulated final scores

UNM covers −14.5 in 44%

UNM covers UNLV coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.