Utah at Arizona · ClosingLine

College games

Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM EST

#2 Utah9-0

56%

#22 Arizona7-2

44%

Utah wins 5,556 of 10,000 sims. Market: 55%

Line: ARIZ +3.0mkt +2.5
Total: 54mkt 54.5
ARIZ covers: 50%
Over 54.5: 49%
Median score: 28–26

Prices

Price to buy, cents

Sims price and Kalshi price for each team to win
Contract	Sims	Kalshi
Utah wins	56¢	56¢
Arizona wins	44¢	45¢

10,000 simulated final scores

ARIZ covers +2.5 in 50%

ARIZ covers UTAH coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

College numbers come from a ratings model: team strength and home field set the expected margin and total, then 10,000 final scores are drawn around them. The NFL games are simulated snap by snap instead. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.