College football
How accurate is it?
The college sims are a ratings model: each team's strength from games already played, home field, and a spread of outcomes. Tested on seasons they never saw, next to the closing market.
2024–25 seasons, untouched
Picks the winner74%Betting favorite: 75%
Misses the final margin by13.0 ptsBetting line: 11.9 pts
Games1,838FBS games with a closing line
2026, as published
Graded so far: 282 games. Sim favorites won 181; betting favorites won 186. Misses included.
| Game | Sims had | Market had | Final | Sims |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana at UL Monroe | Louisiana 85% | Louisiana 77% | 42–21 | Right |
| Memphis at South Florida | South Florida 53% | Memphis 62% | 52–41 | Wrong |
| Buffalo at Ball State | Buffalo 50% | Buffalo 54% | 28–7 | Right |
| Sacramento State at Central Michigan | Central Michigan 85% | Central Michigan 88% | 7–28 | Right |
| Massachusetts at Toledo | Toledo 84% | Toledo 83% | 0–24 | Right |
| Ohio at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 54% | Ohio 51% | 17–34 | Right |
| Western Michigan at Akron | Western Michigan 86% | Western Michigan 83% | 42–14 | Right |
| Kent State at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 67% | Bowling Green 65% | 28–33 | Right |
| Texas State at Oregon State | Oregon State 63% | Oregon State 67% | 42–21 | Wrong |
| Wyoming at UNLV | UNLV 78% | UNLV 65% | 41–35 | Wrong |
| West Virginia at #13 Texas Tech | Texas Tech 89% | Texas Tech 85% | 48–53 | Right |
| Fresno State at Utah State | Fresno State 57% | Fresno State 54% | 10–17 | Wrong |
| Hawai'i at UTEP | Hawai'i 60% | Hawai'i 74% | 17–14 | Right |
| Liberty at New Mexico State | Liberty 88% | Liberty 85% | 30–14 | Right |
| Oklahoma at #25 Florida | Florida 70% | Florida 66% | 23–7 | Wrong |
| #2 Georgia at #12 Ole Miss | Ole Miss 55% | Georgia 61% | 42–7 | Wrong |
| Colorado at Arizona State | Arizona State 61% | Arizona State 61% | 10–20 | Right |
| Louisville at Georgia Tech | Louisville 81% | Louisville 83% | 44–17 | Right |
| #1 Miami at #4 Notre Dame | Notre Dame 60% | Notre Dame 68% | 24–31 | Right |
| Michigan State at Michigan | Michigan 76% | Michigan 82% | 15–6 | Wrong |
| #21 Iowa at Northwestern | Northwestern 61% | Iowa 52% | 24–10 | Wrong |
| Air Force at Army | Army 65% | Army 61% | 24–21 | Wrong |
| Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State 88% | Jacksonville State 85% | 14–47 | Right |
| #8 Kentucky at #16 Tennessee | Tennessee 66% | Tennessee 67% | 6–34 | Right |
| #20 Boise State at Colorado State | Boise State 88% | Boise State 86% | 64–38 | Right |
| South Alabama at Louisiana | Louisiana 76% | Louisiana 73% | 26–28 | Right |
| Vanderbilt at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 71% | Mississippi State 58% | 25–23 | Wrong |
| Rutgers at Wisconsin | Wisconsin 88% | Wisconsin 87% | 10–31 | Right |
| Rice at North Texas | North Texas 86% | North Texas 86% | 23–52 | Right |
| Northern Illinois at San José State | San José State 82% | San José State 77% | 19–30 | Right |
| Missouri State at Florida International | Florida International 67% | Florida International 64% | 20–23 | Right |
| Louisiana Tech at Troy | Louisiana Tech 59% | Louisiana Tech 67% | 41–17 | Right |
| UCF at Kansas | Kansas 61% | Kansas 62% | 33–32 | Wrong |
| #9 Alabama at #15 LSU | LSU 55% | LSU 67% | 31–13 | Wrong |
| Cincinnati at #17 Houston | Houston 79% | Houston 78% | 24–31 | Right |
| Merrimack at #14 Wake Forest | Wake Forest >99% | – | 0–77 | Right |
| Oregon at #11 Ohio State | Ohio State 76% | Ohio State 72% | 41–28 | Wrong |
| Penn State at Washington | Washington 56% | Washington 54% | 28–25 | Wrong |
| Charlotte at UAB | UAB 78% | UAB 76% | 12–23 | Right |
| Temple at Navy | Navy 61% | Navy 71% | 35–42 | Right |
| Marshall at Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern 77% | Georgia Southern 74% | 13–49 | Right |
| Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 53% | Western Kentucky 53% | 42–51 | Right |
| Texas A&M at #23 South Carolina | South Carolina 59% | South Carolina 70% | 9–17 | Right |
| UL Monroe at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 86% | Arkansas State 84% | 19–17 | Wrong |
| Delaware at Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State 50% | Delaware 52% | 40–42 | Right |
| Georgia State at App State | App State 60% | App State 64% | 39–23 | Wrong |
| Oklahoma State at Kansas State | Oklahoma State 50% | Oklahoma State 65% | 66–28 | Right |
| Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina 75% | Coastal Carolina 70% | 21–8 | Wrong |
| Arkansas at Auburn | Auburn 77% | Auburn 77% | 23–26 | Right |
| Duke at NC State | Duke 58% | Duke 64% | 41–3 | Right |
| Maryland at Purdue | Purdue 78% | Purdue 66% | 34–29 | Wrong |
| #10 Texas at #19 Missouri | Texas 55% | Texas 56% | 34–20 | Right |
| #7 BYU at #3 Utah | Utah 76% | Utah 64% | 20–28 | Right |
| Iowa State at Baylor | Baylor 73% | Baylor 76% | 31–42 | Right |
| Clemson at Syracuse | Clemson 59% | Clemson 52% | 18–13 | Right |
| Florida State at Boston College | Florida State 68% | Florida State 68% | 31–24 | Right |
| North Carolina at UConn | North Carolina 69% | North Carolina 71% | 38–21 | Right |
| #5 UCLA at Minnesota | UCLA 70% | UCLA 65% | 34–20 | Right |
| Tulsa at Tulane | Tulane 59% | Tulsa 54% | 60–10 | Wrong |
| TCU at #24 Arizona | Arizona 79% | Arizona 73% | 28–29 | Right |
| #22 New Mexico at Nevada | New Mexico 70% | New Mexico 77% | 31–3 | Right |
| Nebraska at Illinois | Nebraska 60% | Nebraska 64% | 13–24 | Wrong |
| South Florida at East Carolina | South Florida 57% | East Carolina 54% | 17–20 | Wrong |
| Virginia Tech at SMU | SMU 73% | SMU 67% | 28–51 | Right |
| James Madison at Southern Miss | James Madison 81% | James Madison 83% | 54–23 | Right |
| UTSA at Florida Atlantic | UTSA 71% | UTSA 70% | 29–60 | Wrong |
| Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 53% | Eastern Michigan 52% | 35–7 | Right |
| Ball State at Massachusetts | Massachusetts 61% | Massachusetts 60% | 30–31 | Right |
| Toledo at Sacramento State | Toledo 89% | Toledo 93% | 20–17 | Right |
| Buffalo at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 70% | Miami (OH) 68% | 34–31 | Wrong |
| Ohio at Akron | Ohio 78% | Ohio 81% | 28–20 | Right |
| Oregon State at Fresno State | Oregon State 61% | Oregon State 67% | 22–38 | Wrong |
| Northern Illinois at UNLV | UNLV 94% | UNLV 92% | 24–31 | Right |
| Texas State at #20 Boise State | Boise State 80% | Boise State 78% | 45–46 | Right |
| Washington at Nebraska | Nebraska 82% | Nebraska 73% | 17–10 | Wrong |
| Army at Memphis | Memphis 73% | Memphis 68% | 22–49 | Right |
| #23 Missouri at Arkansas | Missouri 69% | Missouri 76% | 34–10 | Right |
| Mississippi State at #11 Texas | Texas 85% | Texas 90% | 3–31 | Right |
| Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh 73% | Pittsburgh 72% | 11–34 | Right |
| #1 Miami at North Carolina | Miami 81% | Miami 83% | 38–35 | Right |
| #2 Ohio State at USC | Ohio State 76% | Ohio State 69% | 18–30 | Wrong |
| #24 Oklahoma State at Iowa State | Iowa State 54% | Oklahoma State 76% | 49–51 | Right |
| Clemson at Florida State | Florida State 65% | Florida State 66% | 36–24 | Wrong |
| Washington State at San Diego State | San Diego State 60% | San Diego State 57% | 20–26 | Right |
| App State at Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern 69% | Georgia Southern 65% | 3–19 | Right |
| South Carolina at Oklahoma | Oklahoma 57% | Oklahoma 62% | 42–25 | Wrong |
| Purdue at Penn State | Penn State 70% | Penn State 74% | 17–31 | Right |
| Nevada at #7 UCLA | UCLA 96% | UCLA 91% | 0–27 | Right |
| New Mexico at San José State | New Mexico 78% | New Mexico 83% | 21–16 | Right |
| #6 Utah at Cincinnati | Utah 72% | Utah 69% | 49–25 | Right |
| Virginia at #14 Wake Forest | Wake Forest 80% | Wake Forest 82% | 7–51 | Right |
| #17 Florida at #3 Georgia | Georgia 73% | Georgia 79% | 8–27 | Right |
| Arizona State at #8 BYU | BYU 86% | BYU 85% | 20–27 | Right |
| Kansas at TCU | TCU 73% | TCU 66% | 16–22 | Right |
| Minnesota at #4 Indiana | Indiana 93% | Indiana 89% | 16–23 | Right |
| #20 Northwestern at Oregon | Oregon 61% | Oregon 62% | 26–34 | Right |
| Colorado State at Utah State | Utah State 64% | Utah State 70% | 14–31 | Right |
| UTEP at North Dakota State | North Dakota State 96% | North Dakota State 93% | 7–31 | Right |
| Florida International at Liberty | Liberty 84% | Liberty 82% | 10–49 | Right |
| Southern Miss at UL Monroe | Southern Miss 60% | Southern Miss 59% | 35–21 | Right |
| Stanford at Louisville | Louisville 92% | Louisville 91% | 24–52 | Right |
| UConn at Air Force | UConn 62% | Air Force 54% | 26–35 | Wrong |
| Temple at East Carolina | East Carolina 69% | East Carolina 65% | 9–17 | Right |
| Louisiana Tech at South Alabama | South Alabama 51% | Louisiana Tech 66% | 35–20 | Wrong |
| Kansas State at Colorado | Kansas State 52% | Colorado 51% | 24–27 | Wrong |
| Coastal Carolina at Georgia State | Georgia State 67% | Georgia State 65% | 31–20 | Wrong |
| Marshall at Old Dominion | Old Dominion 56% | Marshall 56% | 36–23 | Wrong |
| Auburn at #12 Ole Miss | Ole Miss 79% | Ole Miss 80% | 15–45 | Right |
| Michigan at Rutgers | Michigan 74% | Michigan 84% | 28–21 | Right |
| #22 Arizona at #13 Texas Tech | Texas Tech 59% | Texas Tech 62% | 26–34 | Right |
| California at NC State | NC State 73% | NC State 73% | 10–31 | Right |
| #19 SMU at Syracuse | SMU 68% | SMU 75% | 27–30 | Wrong |
| Boston College at Duke | Duke 80% | Duke 71% | 2–47 | Right |
| #25 Wisconsin at Iowa | Iowa 55% | Iowa 58% | 0–30 | Right |
| Illinois at Maryland | Illinois 68% | Illinois 55% | 20–17 | Right |
| #5 Notre Dame at Navy | Notre Dame 99% | Notre Dame 95% | 35–13 | Right |
| UAB at South Florida | South Florida 85% | South Florida 72% | 10–30 | Right |
| Bowling Green at Western Michigan | Western Michigan 84% | Western Michigan 83% | 10–23 | Right |
| Kent State at Sacramento State | Kent State 72% | Kent State 75% | 10–31 | Wrong |
| Baylor at UCF | UCF 52% | UCF 52% | 41–9 | Wrong |
| Tulane at Charlotte | Tulane 76% | Tulane 75% | 38–31 | Right |
| Florida Atlantic at North Texas | North Texas 86% | North Texas 81% | 41–48 | Right |
| Troy at James Madison | James Madison 91% | James Madison 89% | 24–21 | Wrong |
| Jacksonville State at New Mexico State | Jacksonville State 57% | Jacksonville State 59% | 24–0 | Right |
| Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 62% | Middle Tennessee 57% | 44–28 | Wrong |
| Sam Houston at Missouri State | Missouri State 68% | Missouri State 66% | 3–24 | Right |
| Delaware at Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky 62% | Delaware 51% | 35–21 | Wrong |
| #14 Houston at #10 Utah | Utah 74% | Utah 68% | 13–21 | Right |
| North Dakota State at New Mexico | New Mexico 58% | New Mexico 63% | 16–21 | Right |
| UTSA at Tulane | Tulane 51% | UTSA 56% | 42–19 | Wrong |
| Vanderbilt at #12 Kentucky | Kentucky 85% | Kentucky 78% | 17–34 | Right |
| #7 Ole Miss at #19 Texas | Texas 60% | Texas 59% | 27–34 | Right |
| Iowa State at #25 Arizona | Arizona 75% | Arizona 73% | 3–39 | Right |
| Syracuse at North Carolina | North Carolina 82% | North Carolina 75% | 31–30 | Wrong |
| #16 USC at Wisconsin | USC 52% | USC 56% | 7–24 | Wrong |
| Utah State at Texas State | Texas State 82% | Texas State 80% | 17–20 | Right |
| Colorado at Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State 65% | Oklahoma State 81% | 24–57 | Right |
| Virginia Tech at Clemson | Clemson 73% | Clemson 58% | 20–16 | Wrong |
| Georgia State at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 51% | Georgia State 55% | 32–38 | Right |
| San Diego State at Colorado State | Colorado State 51% | San Diego State 53% | 49–56 | Right |
| #21 Boise State at Washington State | Boise State 84% | Boise State 81% | 31–10 | Right |
| San José State at Nevada | Nevada 65% | Nevada 65% | 13–28 | Right |
| Louisiana at Southern Miss | Louisiana 77% | Louisiana 76% | 31–35 | Wrong |
| Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech 75% | Louisiana Tech 79% | 0–26 | Right |
| Eastern Michigan at Ohio | Ohio 81% | Ohio 77% | 20–24 | Right |
| UL Monroe at Troy | Troy 91% | Troy 85% | 21–14 | Wrong |
| Kansas State at Arizona State | Kansas State 57% | Kansas State 56% | 17–28 | Wrong |
| Texas A&M at #13 Alabama | Alabama 89% | Alabama 82% | 20–31 | Right |
| Oklahoma at Mississippi State | Mississippi State 58% | Oklahoma 54% | 23–15 | Wrong |
| #11 Tennessee at South Carolina | Tennessee 62% | South Carolina 52% | 24–27 | Wrong |
| #2 BYU at UCF | BYU 71% | BYU 70% | 31–39 | Wrong |
| Boston College at Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech 79% | Georgia Tech 66% | 49–27 | Wrong |
| #15 Iowa at Minnesota | Iowa 73% | Iowa 71% | 10–13 | Wrong |
| Michigan State at #9 UCLA | UCLA 86% | UCLA 84% | 10–28 | Right |
| North Texas at Navy | North Texas 73% | North Texas 55% | 49–39 | Right |
| Hawai'i at Northern Illinois | Hawai'i 52% | Hawai'i 61% | 56–21 | Right |
| Sacramento State at Ball State | Ball State 83% | Ball State 80% | 17–34 | Right |
| Bowling Green at Buffalo | Buffalo 60% | Buffalo 61% | 24–31 | Right |
| Oregon at Illinois | Oregon 73% | Oregon 77% | 10–21 | Wrong |
| Baylor at Kansas | Baylor 60% | Baylor 51% | 24–25 | Wrong |
| Akron at Kent State | Kent State 76% | Kent State 58% | 20–35 | Right |
| Miami (OH) at Central Michigan | Miami (OH) 51% | Miami (OH) 56% | 28–27 | Right |
| #18 LSU at Auburn | LSU 66% | LSU 71% | 38–17 | Right |
| #8 Texas Tech at Cincinnati | Texas Tech 80% | Texas Tech 78% | 24–37 | Wrong |
| West Virginia at TCU | TCU 80% | TCU 75% | 24–20 | Wrong |
| California at #23 SMU | SMU 86% | SMU 88% | 20–59 | Right |
| Pittsburgh at #1 Miami | Miami 93% | Miami 91% | 23–52 | Right |
| #6 Indiana at Michigan | Indiana 72% | Indiana 71% | 13–6 | Right |
| Rutgers at #24 Northwestern | Northwestern 92% | Northwestern 85% | 14–42 | Right |
| Rice at Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic 64% | Florida Atlantic 75% | 49–51 | Right |
| Western Michigan at Toledo | Toledo 57% | Toledo 59% | 38–45 | Right |
| NC State at Stanford | NC State 55% | NC State 70% | 28–31 | Wrong |
| Air Force at Wyoming | Air Force 59% | Air Force 65% | 14–28 | Wrong |
| Army at Tulsa | Tulsa 60% | Tulsa 51% | 38–35 | Wrong |
| Duke at Virginia | Duke 51% | Virginia 54% | 19–16 | Right |
| Massachusetts at UConn | UConn 80% | UConn 84% | 16–35 | Right |
| East Carolina at Memphis | Memphis 79% | Memphis 77% | 34–41 | Right |
| James Madison at App State | James Madison 81% | James Madison 78% | 31–34 | Wrong |
| Liberty at Kennesaw State | Liberty 72% | Liberty 77% | 34–6 | Right |
| New Mexico State at Sam Houston | Sam Houston 57% | New Mexico State 56% | 30–24 | Wrong |
| South Alabama at Marshall | South Alabama 63% | South Alabama 59% | 13–20 | Wrong |
| Middle Tennessee at Florida International | Florida International 78% | Florida International 77% | 26–23 | Wrong |
| Missouri State at Delaware | Delaware 57% | Delaware 57% | 38–61 | Right |
| Nebraska at Oregon | Oregon 64% | Oregon 69% | 14–17 | Right |
| #21 Wake Forest at California | Wake Forest 74% | Wake Forest 76% | 41–7 | Right |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | Fresno State 59% | Fresno State 73% | 23–26 | Wrong |
| New Mexico at Hawai'i | New Mexico 86% | New Mexico 83% | 21–10 | Right |
| #11 Utah at Colorado | Utah 82% | Utah 85% | 27–24 | Right |
| Ohio at Sacramento State | Ohio 80% | Ohio 83% | 48–7 | Right |
| San José State at UTEP | San José State 58% | San José State 73% | 24–11 | Right |
| Navy at UTSA | UTSA 88% | UTSA 68% | 34–38 | Right |
| Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe | Louisiana Tech 75% | Louisiana Tech 83% | 24–0 | Right |
| #15 Kentucky at Oklahoma | Oklahoma 53% | Oklahoma 69% | 21–13 | Wrong |
| #2 Notre Dame at #8 BYU | Notre Dame 76% | Notre Dame 77% | 24–28 | Wrong |
| #18 Oklahoma State at #20 Houston | Houston 82% | Houston 63% | 32–35 | Right |
| Elon at Stanford | Stanford 83% | – | 7–34 | Right |
| Louisville at Syracuse | Louisville 71% | Louisville 82% | 34–26 | Right |
| Wisconsin at #12 UCLA | UCLA 73% | UCLA 57% | 7–17 | Right |
| Arkansas at Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt 65% | Vanderbilt 67% | 31–21 | Wrong |
| TCU at Baylor | Baylor 69% | Baylor 66% | 17–6 | Wrong |
| Florida State at #3 Miami | Miami 91% | Miami 90% | 35–43 | Right |
| Kent State at South Florida | South Florida 86% | South Florida 89% | 2–29 | Right |
| Nevada at North Dakota State | North Dakota State 88% | North Dakota State 84% | 17–31 | Right |
| Arkansas State at Southern Miss | Southern Miss 50% | Arkansas State 69% | 23–13 | Wrong |
| Washington State at Oregon State | Oregon State 89% | Oregon State 87% | 30–48 | Right |
| Troy at Louisiana | Louisiana 65% | Louisiana 61% | 6–33 | Right |
| Tulsa at Rice | Rice 55% | Tulsa 63% | 38–17 | Wrong |
| Auburn at #1 Georgia | Georgia 91% | Georgia 89% | 27–24 | Wrong |
| #13 Missouri at #9 Ole Miss | Ole Miss 58% | Ole Miss 64% | 3–31 | Right |
| #6 Alabama at #14 Tennessee | Alabama 73% | Alabama 71% | 10–26 | Wrong |
| Arizona State at #10 Texas Tech | Texas Tech 93% | Texas Tech 84% | 25–53 | Right |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech 57% | Virginia Tech 75% | 24–34 | Right |
| North Carolina at Duke | Duke 60% | Duke 60% | 24–20 | Wrong |
| Penn State at Michigan | Michigan 59% | Michigan 66% | 18–21 | Right |
| Northern Illinois at Wyoming | Wyoming 68% | Wyoming 71% | 23–41 | Right |
| UNLV at Air Force | UNLV 62% | UNLV 52% | 31–41 | Wrong |
| Toledo at Eastern Michigan | Toledo 64% | Toledo 67% | 34–14 | Right |
| Akron at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) 85% | Miami (OH) 76% | 14–34 | Right |
| Western Michigan at Central Michigan | Western Michigan 67% | Western Michigan 70% | 21–14 | Right |
| The Citadel at Texas A&M | Texas A&M >99% | – | 0–41 | Right |
| Charlotte at Temple | Temple 91% | Temple 91% | 38–31 | Wrong |
| Massachusetts at Buffalo | Buffalo 60% | Buffalo 65% | 18–25 | Right |
| Rutgers at Maryland | Maryland 69% | Maryland 65% | 37–30 | Wrong |
| #16 Mississippi State at #22 LSU | LSU 79% | LSU 82% | 0–31 | Right |
| Florida at #7 Texas | Texas 81% | Texas 78% | 27–24 | Wrong |
| Cincinnati at West Virginia | West Virginia 52% | West Virginia 52% | 42–45 | Right |
| Kansas at Kansas State | Kansas State 66% | Kansas State 64% | 24–35 | Right |
| Charleston Southern at Clemson | Clemson 97% | – | 0–37 | Right |
| Pittsburgh at Boston College | Pittsburgh 77% | Pittsburgh 67% | 21–27 | Wrong |
| Virginia at #24 SMU | SMU 72% | SMU 74% | 13–23 | Right |
| #4 Ohio State at #5 Indiana | Ohio State 51% | Ohio State 61% | 19–15 | Right |
| #25 Northwestern at Michigan State | Northwestern 74% | Northwestern 73% | 24–21 | Right |
| Florida Atlantic at Army | Army 59% | Army 56% | 24–56 | Right |
| Ball State at Bowling Green | Bowling Green 71% | Bowling Green 69% | 32–31 | Wrong |
| Georgia State at James Madison | James Madison 82% | James Madison 77% | 22–49 | Right |
| Washington at Purdue | Purdue 65% | Purdue 59% | 38–26 | Wrong |
| App State at Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina 61% | App State 52% | 35–32 | Wrong |
| Memphis at Tulane | Memphis 64% | Memphis 70% | 17–31 | Wrong |
| Colorado State at Texas State | Texas State 80% | Texas State 81% | 27–66 | Right |
| East Carolina at UAB | East Carolina 70% | East Carolina 64% | 17–30 | Wrong |
| Georgia Southern at Old Dominion | Georgia Southern 58% | Georgia Southern 62% | 23–15 | Right |
| Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | Western Kentucky 51% | Western Kentucky 52% | 16–3 | Right |
| Kennesaw State at Missouri State | Missouri State 56% | Kennesaw State 60% | 21–24 | Right |
| Florida International at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State 59% | Jacksonville State 57% | 24–27 | Right |
| Delaware at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 55% | Delaware 53% | 30–33 | Right |
| Hawai'i at Arizona State | Arizona State 89% | Arizona State 91% | 12–30 | Right |
| #23 Boise State at Fresno State | Boise State 69% | Boise State 70% | 38–31 | Right |
| Kansas at #12 Utah | Utah 93% | Utah 84% | 24–41 | Right |
| Minnesota at Purdue | Purdue 59% | Minnesota 55% | 13–41 | Right |
| #2 Georgia at #6 Alabama | Alabama 75% | Alabama 52% | 20–17 | Wrong |
| Syracuse at Virginia | Virginia 75% | Virginia 78% | 25–28 | Right |
| #19 USC at Penn State | Penn State 57% | Penn State 51% | 31–23 | Wrong |
| Air Force at Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois 51% | Air Force 75% | 28–7 | Wrong |
| James Madison at Georgia Southern | James Madison 71% | James Madison 74% | 27–24 | Right |
| Louisiana at Louisiana Tech | Louisiana 53% | Louisiana Tech 57% | 31–32 | Wrong |
| #10 LSU at Kentucky | LSU 58% | LSU 75% | 34–35 | Wrong |
| UAB at Memphis | Memphis 91% | Memphis 83% | 13–38 | Right |
| Nevada at UTEP | Nevada 50% | Nevada 75% | 30–13 | Right |
| North Dakota State at UNLV | North Dakota State 57% | North Dakota State 57% | 7–13 | Wrong |
| Coastal Carolina at Marshall | Marshall 61% | Marshall 60% | 27–21 | Wrong |
| San Diego State at Oregon State | Oregon State 83% | Oregon State 83% | 14–66 | Right |
| #15 Tennessee at Arkansas | Tennessee 80% | Tennessee 82% | 24–17 | Right |
| Maryland at #5 Ohio State | Ohio State 98% | – | 16–45 | Right |
| UConn at Temple | Temple 62% | Temple 62% | 34–20 | Wrong |
| #1 Texas at Oklahoma | Texas 84% | Texas 74% | 24–27 | Wrong |
| #9 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt | Ole Miss 56% | Ole Miss 76% | 52–17 | Right |
| #22 Houston at Kansas State | Kansas State 53% | Kansas State 56% | 35–16 | Wrong |
| Duke at Georgia Tech | Duke 55% | Duke 68% | 25–28 | Wrong |
| Stanford at #3 Notre Dame | Notre Dame >99% | – | 7–58 | Right |
| Virginia Tech at California | Virginia Tech 57% | Virginia Tech 75% | 20–25 | Wrong |
| Illinois at Michigan State | Michigan State 54% | Illinois 59% | 38–37 | Wrong |
| #21 UCLA at #13 Oregon | Oregon 73% | Oregon 78% | 17–15 | Wrong |
| Charlotte at North Texas | North Texas 97% | North Texas 94% | 10–50 | Right |
| Tulsa at Navy | Tulsa 60% | Navy 56% | 26–34 | Wrong |
| Eastern Michigan at Akron | Eastern Michigan 61% | Eastern Michigan 66% | 25–23 | Right |
| Buffalo at Toledo | Toledo 93% | Toledo 88% | 23–8 | Wrong |
| Central Michigan at Ohio | Ohio 67% | Ohio 59% | 14–31 | Right |
| Kent State at Western Michigan | Western Michigan 79% | Western Michigan 82% | 7–38 | Right |
| Miami (OH) at Massachusetts | Massachusetts 51% | Miami (OH) 61% | 20–19 | Wrong |
| Rice at East Carolina | East Carolina 73% | East Carolina 76% | 12–28 | Right |
| Old Dominion at App State | App State 74% | App State 76% | 10–3 | Wrong |
| South Carolina at #16 Florida | Florida 77% | Florida 79% | 38–19 | Wrong |