Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
LA covers ARI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· SoFi Stadium
ARI at LA
ARI Cardinals3-6Jacoby Brissett
LA Rams5-4Matthew Stafford
- Line, published
- LA −10.0mkt −12.5
- Total
- 48.0mkt 51.5
- LA covers
- 42%
- Over 51.5
- 38%
- Median score
- 19–29
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to LA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LA wins. Filled dots are sims where LA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to LA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LA wins. Filled dots are sims where LA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
LA covers −12.5 in 42%
Players
ARI CardinalsFantasy points, PPR
- Trey McBride TE79 rec yds · 7.5 catches · 0.4 TD18.112–23
- Jacoby Brissett QB243 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 33 rush yds17.212–22
- Michael Wilson WR74 rec yds · 6.9 catches · 0.4 TD16.711–22
- Tyler Allgeier RB62 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.5 TD12.57–17
- Kendrick Bourne WR31 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.13–10
- Chad Ryland KField goals and extra points6.53–9
Cardinals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed3.30–6- Jalen Brooks WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.20–5
- Elijah Higgins TE13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.00–4
- Reggie Virgil WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches2.10–3
- Bam Knight RB6 rush yds0.80–1
LA RamsFantasy points, PPR
- Kyren Williams RB76 rush yds · 47 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 1.0 TD22.315–28
- Matthew Stafford QB270 pass yds · 2.1 pass TD · 16 rush yds20.015–24
- Puka Nacua WR66 rec yds · 5.6 catches · 0.5 TD15.810–21
- Davante Adams WR59 rec yds · 5.0 catches · 0.4 TD13.58–18
- Blake Corum RB38 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.5 TD9.45–13
- Blake Grupe KField goals and extra points9.06–12
Rams D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.34–11- Tyler Higbee TE34 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.3 TD7.94–11
- Konata Mumpfield WR18 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD4.21–6
- Davis Allen TE12 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.80–4
- Colby Parkinson TE9 rec yds · 0.7 catches · 0.1 TD2.00–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | ARI | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.025 | +0.058 |
| Rush offense | −0.001 | +0.006 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.058 | −0.021 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.003 | −0.008 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.030 | +0.067 |