Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
CLE covers BAL coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Huntington Bank Field
BAL at CLE
BAL Ravens4-5Lamar Jackson
CLE Browns5-4Deshaun Watson
- Line, published
- CLE +3.0mkt +3.0
- Total
- 44.0mkt 39.5
- CLE covers
- 52%
- Over 39.5
- 63%
- Median score
- 23–21
BAL's listed starter Lamar Jackson didn't start last week (T.Huntley did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from BAL's biggest win to CLE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CLE wins. Filled dots are sims where CLE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where BAL covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from BAL's biggest win to CLE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CLE wins. Filled dots are sims where CLE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where BAL covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
CLE covers +3.0 in 52%
Players
BAL RavensFantasy points, PPR
- Derrick Henry RB97 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.8 TD18.112–23
- Lamar Jackson QB231 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds14.710–19
- Zay Flowers WR62 rec yds · 5.6 catches · 0.4 TD14.59–19
- Mark Andrews TE57 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.4 TD12.98–17
- Rashod Bateman WR40 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.3 TD9.15–13
- Tyler Loop KField goals and extra points7.95–11
Ravens D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.83–10- Justice Hill RB15 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.2 TD6.83–10
- Devontez Walker WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.20–5
CLE BrownsFantasy points, PPR
- Deshaun Watson QB239 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 41 rush yds18.513–23
- Quinshon Judkins RBQuestionable60 rush yds · 28 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.6 TD · plays in 80% of sims15.18–21
- KC Concepcion WR50 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.3 TD12.27–16
- Denzel Boston WR53 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.3 TD12.17–16
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE49 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD11.16–15
- Andre Szmyt KField goals and extra points7.54–10
- Jerry Jeudy WR29 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
Browns D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.03–9- Isaiah Bond WR19 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.1 TD4.42–6
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | BAL | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.044 | −0.043 |
| Rush offense | +0.017 | −0.026 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.014 | −0.031 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.016 | +0.017 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.055 | −0.055 |