Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
ATL covers CHI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Mercedes-Benz Stadium
CHI at ATL
CHI Bears7-2Caleb Williams
ATL Falcons3-6Michael Penix Jr.
- Line, published
- ATL −3.0mkt +1.5
- Total
- 44.0mkt 51.5
- ATL covers
- 59%
- Over 51.5
- 30%
- Median score
- 21–24
ATL's listed starter Michael Penix Jr. didn't start last week (M.Penix did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CHI's biggest win to ATL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger ATL wins. Filled dots are sims where ATL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CHI's biggest win to ATL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger ATL wins. Filled dots are sims where ATL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
ATL covers +1.5 in 59%
Players
CHI BearsFantasy points, PPR
- D'Andre Swift RB79 rush yds · 25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.7 TD17.011–22
- Caleb Williams QB234 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.111–19
- Luther Burden III WR8 rush yds · 51 rec yds · 4.7 catches · 0.4 TD12.98–17
- Rome Odunze WR45 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 0.3 TD10.26–14
- Kalif Raymond WR37 rec yds · 3.4 catches · 0.2 TD8.64–12
- Colston Loveland TE36 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD8.14–11
- Cairo Santos KField goals and extra points7.34–10
Bears D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.62–8- Roschon Johnson RB11 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.2 TD4.82–7
- Cole Kmet TE13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
ATL FalconsFantasy points, PPR
- Bijan Robinson RB91 rush yds · 41 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 1.0 TD22.716–29
- Drake London WR64 rec yds · 5.9 catches · 0.4 TD15.09–20
- Michael Penix Jr. QB216 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 14 rush yds13.910–18
- Brian Robinson RB45 rush yds · 7 rec yds · 0.6 catches · 0.4 TD8.34–12
- Nick Folk KField goals and extra points7.95–11
- Jahan Dotson WR29 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
Falcons D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.63–9- Kyle Pitts TE28 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.43–9
- Zachariah Branch WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.30–5
- Austin Hooper TE11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
- Olamide Zaccheaus WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.50–4
- Charlie Woerner TE8 rec yds · 0.7 catches · 0.1 TD1.80–2
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CHI | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.028 | −0.012 |
| Rush offense | +0.018 | +0.028 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.013 | −0.028 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.027 | −0.002 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.032 | −0.005 |