Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NYG covers NO coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· MetLife Stadium
NO at NYG
NO Saints3-5Tyler Shough
NYG Giants5-3-1Jameis Winston
- Line, published
- NYG −2.0mkt +1.5
- Total
- 42.0mkt 46.5
- NYG covers
- 56%
- Over 46.5
- 36%
- Median score
- 20–21
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NO's biggest win to NYG's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYG wins. Filled dots are sims where NYG covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NO covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NO's biggest win to NYG's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYG wins. Filled dots are sims where NYG covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NO covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NYG covers +1.5 in 56%
Players
NO SaintsFantasy points, PPR
- Tyler Shough QB229 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 26 rush yds15.211–20
- Chris Olave WRQuestionable55 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims12.56–18
- Devaughn Vele WR52 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.3 TD11.97–16
- Juwan Johnson TE46 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD10.46–14
- Alvin Kamara RBQuestionable29 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims8.34–12
- Kendre Miller RB43 rush yds · 9 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.4 TD8.24–11
- Daniel Carlson KField goals and extra points7.44–10
Saints D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–10- Bryce Lance WR23 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.1 TD5.32–7
- CJ Donaldson RB17 rush yds · 0.1 TD3.91–5
- Noah Fant TE16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.61–5
NYG GiantsFantasy points, PPR
- Isaiah Likely TE70 rec yds · 6.5 catches · 0.4 TD16.110–21
- Malik Nabers WR70 rec yds · 6.4 catches · 0.4 TD15.910–21
- Cam Skattebo RB71 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.6 TD14.29–19
- Jameis Winston QB224 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 14 rush yds14.010–18
- Dominic Zvada KField goals and extra points7.84–11
Giants D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed7.54–11- Darnell Mooney WR26 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.1 TD5.82–8
- Malachi Fields WR23 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.1 TD5.22–7
- Najee Harris RB26 rush yds · 0.2 TD4.11–5
- Devin Singletary RB6 rush yds2.20–3
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB7 rush yds2.10–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | NO | NYG |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.043 | −0.064 |
| Rush offense | +0.002 | −0.021 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.019 | +0.006 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.013 | +0.008 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.049 | −0.079 |