Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NE covers NYJ coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Gillette Stadium
NYJ at NE
NYJ Jets2-7Geno Smith
NE Patriots5-4Drake Maye
- Line, published
- NE −8.0mkt −7.5
- Total
- 43.0mkt 43.5
- NE covers
- 51%
- Over 43.5
- 48%
- Median score
- 17–26
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYJ's biggest win to NE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NE wins. Filled dots are sims where NE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYJ covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYJ's biggest win to NE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NE wins. Filled dots are sims where NE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYJ covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NE covers −7.5 in 51%
Players
NYJ JetsFantasy points, PPR
- Garrett Wilson WR85 rec yds · 8.3 catches · 0.4 TD19.413–25
- Braelon Allen RB81 rush yds · 24 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.6 TD16.611–22
- Geno Smith QB217 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 20 rush yds12.78–17
- Kenyon Sadiq TEQuestionable32 rec yds · 3.1 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims7.42–11
- Isaiah Williams WR28 rec yds · 2.7 catches · 0.1 TD6.73–9
- Jason Sanders KField goals and extra points6.53–9
Jets D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed4.72–7- Jeremy Ruckert TE15 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.41–5
- Mason Taylor TE12 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
- Tim Patrick WR8 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.70–3
NE PatriotsFantasy points, PPR
- Drake Maye QB248 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 22 rush yds17.913–22
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB56 rush yds · 36 rec yds · 3.2 catches · 0.7 TD16.711–21
- Romeo Doubs WR46 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 0.3 TD10.66–15
- DeMario Douglas WR42 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.3 TD9.75–13
Patriots D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed9.15–12- Andy Borregales KField goals and extra points8.75–11
- Hunter Henry TE37 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.3 TD8.64–12
- Efton Chism III WR29 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.83–10
- TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable30 rush yds · 7 rec yds · 0.6 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims6.12–9
- Kyle Williams WR21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Eli Raridon TE20 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD4.52–6
- Corey Kiner RB19 rush yds · 0.2 TD3.91–5
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | NYJ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.044 | +0.054 |
| Rush offense | −0.018 | −0.007 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.003 | −0.044 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.009 | +0.012 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.051 | +0.061 |