Week 6 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
DEN covers SEA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Empower Field at Mile High
SEA at DEN
SEA Seahawks5-4Drew Lock
DEN Broncos7-2Bo Nix
- Line, published
- DEN −4.0mkt +2.5
- Total
- 40.0mkt 40.5
- DEN covers
- 67%
- Over 40.5
- 49%
- Median score
- 17–22
SEA's listed starter Drew Lock didn't start last week (S.Darnold did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from SEA's biggest win to DEN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DEN wins. Filled dots are sims where DEN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where SEA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from SEA's biggest win to DEN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DEN wins. Filled dots are sims where DEN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where SEA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
DEN covers +2.5 in 67%
Players
SEA SeahawksFantasy points, PPR
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR77 rec yds · 7.4 catches · 0.4 TD17.712–23
- Emanuel Wilson RB69 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.5 TD12.47–16
- Drew Lock QB215 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 14 rush yds12.08–16
- George Holani RB23 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–10
- AJ Barner TE33 rec yds · 3.2 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–10
- Rashid Shaheed WR30 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.24–10
- Jason Myers KField goals and extra points6.94–10
Seahawks D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.63–9- Cooper Kupp WR24 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.1 TD5.42–8
- Tory Horton WR7 rec yds · 0.6 catches1.50–2
DEN BroncosFantasy points, PPR
- Bo Nix QB224 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 26 rush yds15.511–20
- J.K. Dobbins RB74 rush yds · 12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.6 TD13.38–18
- Jaylen Waddle WR53 rec yds · 5.0 catches · 0.3 TD12.68–17
- RJ Harvey RB18 rush yds · 39 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.4 TD11.47–15
- Courtland Sutton WR43 rec yds · 4.0 catches · 0.2 TD9.75–13
Broncos D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.75–12- Wil Lutz KField goals and extra points8.15–11
- Evan Engram TE30 rec yds · 2.8 catches · 0.2 TD6.93–10
- Tyler Badie RB6 rush yds · 12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD3.71–5
- Troy Franklin WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–3
- Marvin Mims Jr. WR10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–3
- Nate Adkins TE8 rec yds · 0.8 catches1.90–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | SEA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.029 | −0.009 |
| Rush offense | −0.025 | +0.008 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.039 | −0.048 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.016 | +0.005 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.039 | −0.007 |