Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
BAL covers CIN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· M&T Bank Stadium
CIN at BAL
CIN Bengals6-2Joe Burrow
BAL Ravens4-5Tyler Huntley
- Line, published
- BAL +2.0mkt +3.0
- Total
- 45.0mkt 46.5
- BAL covers
- 54%
- Over 46.5
- 47%
- Median score
- 23–22
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CIN's biggest win to BAL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger BAL wins. Filled dots are sims where BAL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CIN's biggest win to BAL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger BAL wins. Filled dots are sims where BAL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
BAL covers +3.0 in 54%
Players
CIN BengalsFantasy points, PPR
- Chase Brown RB64 rush yds · 41 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.8 TD18.712–24
- Joe Burrow QB256 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 20 rush yds17.413–22
- Tee Higgins WR63 rec yds · 5.6 catches · 0.4 TD14.39–19
- Ja'Marr Chase WR56 rec yds · 5.0 catches · 0.4 TD12.87–17
- Evan McPherson KField goals and extra points7.95–11
- Samaje Perine RB28 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.3 TD7.33–10
- Dohnte Meyers WR28 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.43–9
Bengals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.33–9- Mike Gesicki TE24 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.2 TD5.42–8
- Mitchell Tinsley WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
- Erick All TE9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
- Drew Sample TE8 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.80–3
BAL RavensFantasy points, PPR
- Derrick Henry RB97 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.8 TD17.511–23
- Zay Flowers WR66 rec yds · 6.1 catches · 0.4 TD15.510–20
- Tyler Huntley QB232 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.211–19
- Mark Andrews TE47 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD10.76–14
- Tyler Loop KField goals and extra points7.74–10
- Rashod Bateman WR31 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.13–10
- Justice Hill RB12 rush yds · 21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
Ravens D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.02–9- Josh Cuevas TE15 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.30–5
- Devontez Walker WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.20–5
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CIN | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.026 | −0.021 |
| Rush offense | +0.009 | +0.010 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.008 | +0.008 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.007 | −0.001 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.029 | −0.036 |