Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
TEN covers CLE coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Nissan Stadium
CLE at TEN
CLE Browns5-4Deshaun Watson
TEN Titans1-7Cam Ward
- Line, published
- TEN +3.0mkt +2.5
- Total
- 39.0mkt 36.5
- TEN covers
- 45%
- Over 36.5
- 59%
- Median score
- 21–17
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to TEN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger TEN wins. Filled dots are sims where TEN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to TEN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger TEN wins. Filled dots are sims where TEN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
TEN covers +2.5 in 45%
Players
CLE BrownsFantasy points, PPR
- Deshaun Watson QB228 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 29 rush yds16.011–20
- Quinshon Judkins RB58 rush yds · 27 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.6 TD14.59–19
- KC Concepcion WR48 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD11.67–15
- Denzel Boston WR48 rec yds · 4.4 catches · 0.3 TD10.96–15
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE41 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.2 TD9.25–13
Browns D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.85–12- Andre Szmyt KField goals and extra points7.95–11
- Jerry Jeudy WR29 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.53–9
- Jaleel McLaughlin RB12 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD3.91–5
- Isaiah Bond WR15 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.40–5
- Audric Estimé RB10 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.40–2
TEN TitansFantasy points, PPR
- Tony Pollard RB85 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.6 TD15.510–20
- Carnell Tate WR57 rec yds · 5.5 catches · 0.3 TD13.08–17
- Cam Ward QB204 pass yds · 1.0 pass TD · 14 rush yds11.67–15
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR49 rec yds · 4.7 catches · 0.2 TD11.37–15
- Joey Slye KField goals and extra points6.94–10
Titans D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.93–10- Tyjae Spears RBQuestionable12 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims5.52–8
- Elic Ayomanor WR17 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD3.91–5
- Gunnar Helm TE14 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.20–4
- Daniel Bellinger TE12 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
- Calvin Ridley WRQuestionable11 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims2.50–4
- Chimere Dike WR10 rec yds · 0.9 catches2.20–3
- Nicholas Singleton RB6 rush yds0.80–1
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CLE | TEN |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.051 | −0.107 |
| Rush offense | −0.025 | −0.003 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.026 | +0.038 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.002 | 0.000 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.062 | −0.124 |