ClosingLine
  • Type a player or team. Press / to open search from any page.
Week 7 games

· Lincoln Financial Field

DAL at PHI

DAL Cowboys4-5Dak Prescott
PHI Eagles2-7Jalen Hurts
FinalDAL 38 – 21 PHIDAL won by 17
Model favorite
PHI Lost
Spread lean
PHI +4.5 Lost
Total lean
Over 43.5 Won

Graded against the numbers published , before kickoff. Everything below is exactly as it was published.

Line, published
PHI −3.0mkt +4.5
Total
48.0mkt 43.5
PHI covers
68%
Over 43.5
64%
Median score
24–24

PHI's listed starter Jalen Hurts didn't start last week (T.McKee did). Check QB status before kickoff.

How the 10,000 sims landed

How to read this chart

The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from DAL's biggest win to PHI's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.

Dots further right are bigger PHI wins. Filled dots are sims where PHI covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where DAL covers.

Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.

PHI covers +4.5 in 68%
−21−14−7−30+3+7+14+21Market PHI +4.5← DAL wins by morePHI wins by more →
PHI covers DAL coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.

Players

Scoring
DAL CowboysFantasy points, PPR
PHI EaglesFantasy points, PPR
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
Team ratings in expected points added per play, as of kickoff
EPA per playDALPHI
Pass offense+0.046−0.013
Rush offense+0.010−0.018
Pass defense, allowed+0.063−0.001
Rush defense, allowed+0.012+0.009
QB, per dropback+0.051−0.005