Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
MIN covers IND coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· U.S. Bank Stadium
IND at MIN
IND Colts2-7Daniel Jones
MIN Vikings6-2Kyler Murray
- Line, published
- MIN −7.0mkt −6.5
- Total
- 40.0mkt 41.5
- MIN covers
- 50%
- Over 41.5
- 46%
- Median score
- 17–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from IND's biggest win to MIN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger MIN wins. Filled dots are sims where MIN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where IND covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from IND's biggest win to MIN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger MIN wins. Filled dots are sims where MIN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where IND covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
MIN covers −6.5 in 50%
Players
IND ColtsFantasy points, PPR
- Jonathan Taylor RB76 rush yds · 29 rec yds · 2.8 catches · 0.6 TD16.911–22
- Josh Downs WR52 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.2 TD11.97–16
- Keenan Allen WR52 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.3 TD11.97–16
- Daniel Jones QB208 pass yds · 1.0 pass TD · 19 rush yds11.67–15
- Laquon Treadwell WR33 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–10
- Spencer Shrader KField goals and extra points6.73–10
Colts D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.13–9- Seth McGowan RB14 rush yds · 0.1 TD3.11–4
- Deion Burks WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches2.40–3
- Will Mallory TE10 rec yds · 1.0 catches2.30–3
- Ashton Dulin WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches2.00–3
MIN VikingsFantasy points, PPR
- Aaron Jones RB95 rush yds · 36 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.9 TD21.915–28
- Kyler Murray QB229 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds14.410–19
- T.J. Hockenson TE49 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD11.26–15
Vikings D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed9.75–13- Justin Jefferson WR41 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.3 TD9.75–13
- Jordan Addison WR40 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.2 TD9.05–12
- Will Reichard KField goals and extra points8.45–11
- Gavin Bartholomew TE16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.61–5
- Myles Price WR15 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.30–5
- Tai Felton WR12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.80–4
- Jauan Jennings WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
- DeeJay Dallas RB7 rec yds · 0.7 catches2.00–3
- Demond Claiborne RB6 rush yds1.70–2
- Jordan Mason RBQuestionable8 rush yds · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims1.20–1
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | IND | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.064 | −0.033 |
| Rush offense | +0.034 | −0.017 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.006 | −0.061 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.008 | −0.016 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.066 | −0.033 |