Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
SEA covers KC coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Lumen Field
KC at SEA
KC Chiefs6-2Patrick Mahomes
SEA Seahawks5-4Sam Darnold
- Line, published
- SEA +1.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 45.0mkt 43.5
- SEA covers
- 42%
- Over 43.5
- 54%
- Median score
- 23–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from KC's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where KC covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from KC's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where KC covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
SEA covers −3.0 in 42%
Players
KC ChiefsFantasy points, PPR
- Kenneth Walker III RB83 rush yds · 44 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.9 TD22.015–28
- Patrick Mahomes QB248 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds16.012–20
- Xavier Worthy WR64 rec yds · 5.7 catches · 0.4 TD14.59–19
- Travis Kelce TE57 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.3 TD12.98–17
- Harrison Butker KField goals and extra points7.75–11
- Emmett Johnson RB14 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.13–9
Chiefs D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.13–9- Noah Gray TE26 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.2 TD5.92–8
- Jalen Royals WR22 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.92–7
- Cyrus Allen WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
SEA SeahawksFantasy points, PPR
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR86 rec yds · 7.7 catches · 0.5 TD19.713–25
- Sam Darnold QB241 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.511–20
- Emanuel Wilson RB72 rush yds · 11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.6 TD13.07–17
- Rashid Shaheed WR36 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD8.74–12
- Cooper Kupp WR35 rec yds · 3.1 catches · 0.2 TD8.04–11
- Jason Myers KField goals and extra points7.75–11
- AJ Barner TE33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–11
- George Holani RB24 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.3 TD7.03–10
Seahawks D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.33–9- Tory Horton WR14 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.10–4
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | KC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.056 | +0.002 |
| Rush offense | +0.029 | −0.024 |
| Pass defense, allowed | 0.000 | −0.038 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.010 | −0.015 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.068 | +0.003 |