Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
LV covers LA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Allegiant Stadium
LA at LV
LA Rams5-4Matthew Stafford
LV Raiders4-5Kirk Cousins
- Line, published
- LV +3.0mkt +3.5
- Total
- 45.0mkt 48.5
- LV covers
- 55%
- Over 48.5
- 41%
- Median score
- 24–21
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LA's biggest win to LV's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LV wins. Filled dots are sims where LV covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LA's biggest win to LV's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LV wins. Filled dots are sims where LV covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
LV covers +3.5 in 55%
Players
LA RamsFantasy points, PPR
- Kyren Williams RB60 rush yds · 62 rec yds · 5.5 catches · 0.9 TD23.016–29
- Matthew Stafford QB259 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 16 rush yds17.413–22
- Puka Nacua WRQuestionable62 rec yds · 5.5 catches · 0.4 TD · plays in 80% of sims14.47–21
- Tyler Higbee TE45 rec yds · 4.0 catches · 0.3 TD10.45–14
- Blake Corum RB34 rush yds · 21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.4 TD9.75–13
- Brandon McManus KField goals and extra points8.05–11
Rams D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.53–9- Konata Mumpfield WR25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD5.72–8
- Colby Parkinson TE21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Davis Allen TE13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.10–4
LV RaidersFantasy points, PPR
- Ashton Jeanty RB69 rush yds · 43 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.8 TD19.613–25
- Kirk Cousins QB246 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 16 rush yds15.711–20
- Brock Bowers TE57 rec yds · 5.2 catches · 0.4 TD13.08–17
- Tre Tucker WR43 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.3 TD10.05–14
- Michael Mayer TE41 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.2 TD9.35–13
- Matt Gay KField goals and extra points7.54–10
Raiders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.52–8- Cody White WR20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.1 TD4.52–6
- Mike Washington Jr. RBQuestionable20 rush yds · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims4.01–6
- Jalen Nailor WR17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.81–5
- Malik Benson WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
- Dylan Laube RB2.00–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | LA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.042 | +0.011 |
| Rush offense | +0.006 | −0.031 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.016 | +0.017 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.008 | −0.010 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.053 | +0.008 |