Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NYJ covers MIA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· MetLife Stadium
MIA at NYJ
MIA Dolphins1-7Malik Willis
NYJ Jets2-7Geno Smith
- Line, published
- NYJ −4.0mkt −3.5
- Total
- 41.0mkt 39.5
- NYJ covers
- 53%
- Over 39.5
- 56%
- Median score
- 18–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from MIA's biggest win to NYJ's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYJ wins. Filled dots are sims where NYJ covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where MIA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from MIA's biggest win to NYJ's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYJ wins. Filled dots are sims where NYJ covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where MIA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NYJ covers −3.5 in 53%
Players
MIA DolphinsFantasy points, PPR
- Malik Washington WR8 rush yds · 67 rec yds · 6.3 catches · 0.4 TD16.311–21
- Malik Willis QB213 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 27 rush yds14.19–18
- Ollie Gordon II RB64 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.5 TD11.06–15
- Kevin Coleman Jr. WR35 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD7.94–11
- Greg Dulcich TE33 rec yds · 3.1 catches · 0.2 TD7.44–10
- Zane Gonzalez KField goals and extra points7.04–10
- Chris Bell WR29 rec yds · 2.7 catches · 0.2 TD6.83–9
Dolphins D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.72–8- Caleb Douglas WR15 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.41–5
- Will Kacmarek TE12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
- Jaylen Wright RB19 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.61–3
- Jalen Tolbert WR7 rec yds · 0.6 catches1.50–2
NYJ JetsFantasy points, PPR
- Garrett Wilson WR71 rec yds · 6.4 catches · 0.5 TD16.210–21
- Geno Smith QB230 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 14 rush yds15.511–20
- Braelon Allen RB70 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.7 TD14.99–20
- Kenyon Sadiq TE36 rec yds · 3.2 catches · 0.2 TD8.24–11
- Jason Sanders KField goals and extra points8.05–11
Jets D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed7.84–11- Breece Hall RBQuestionable26 rush yds · 9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims5.82–8
- Isaiah Williams WR19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Mason Taylor TE20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.1 TD4.62–7
- Adonai Mitchell WR17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.91–5
- Omar Cooper Jr. WR15 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.30–5
- Tim Patrick WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
- Jeremy Ruckert TE10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–3
- Isaiah Davis RB10 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.50–2
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | MIA | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.049 | −0.032 |
| Rush offense | +0.004 | −0.015 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.036 | −0.001 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.001 | −0.007 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.055 | −0.040 |