Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
CHI covers NE coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Soldier Field
NE at CHI
NE Patriots5-4Drake Maye
CHI Bears7-2Caleb Williams
- Line, published
- CHI −2.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 47.0mkt 50.5
- CHI covers
- 45%
- Over 50.5
- 39%
- Median score
- 23–24
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NE's biggest win to CHI's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CHI wins. Filled dots are sims where CHI covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NE's biggest win to CHI's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CHI wins. Filled dots are sims where CHI covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
CHI covers −3.0 in 45%
Players
NE PatriotsFantasy points, PPR
- Drake Maye QB251 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 16 rush yds17.012–21
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB45 rush yds · 31 rec yds · 2.8 catches · 0.5 TD13.78–18
- DeMario Douglas WR56 rec yds · 5.0 catches · 0.4 TD12.88–17
- Hunter Henry TE46 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 0.3 TD10.46–14
- Andy Borregales KField goals and extra points7.74–10
- TreVeyon Henderson RB31 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.3 TD6.83–10
- A.J. Brown WR29 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.73–9
- Efton Chism III WR28 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
- Eli Raridon TE25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD5.72–8
Patriots D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.42–8- Kyle Williams WR21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.92–7
- Corey Kiner RB21 rush yds · 0.2 TD3.91–5
CHI BearsFantasy points, PPR
- D'Andre Swift RB78 rush yds · 28 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.8 TD18.012–23
- Caleb Williams QB245 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 21 rush yds16.912–21
- Luther Burden III WR6 rush yds · 55 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.4 TD13.58–18
- Rome Odunze WR43 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.3 TD9.95–14
- Colston Loveland TE41 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.3 TD9.35–13
- Cairo Santos KField goals and extra points7.95–11
- Kalif Raymond WR33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.74–11
- Roschon Johnson RB23 rush yds · 15 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.3 TD6.93–10
Bears D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.93–9- Cole Kmet TE14 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.10–4
- Zavion Thomas WR8 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.70–2
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | NE | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.056 | +0.045 |
| Rush offense | −0.010 | +0.011 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.032 | −0.018 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.005 | +0.019 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.064 | +0.050 |