Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
HOU covers NYG coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Reliant Stadium
NYG at HOU
NYG Giants5-3-1J.J. McCarthy
HOU Texans3-5C.J. Stroud
- Line, published
- HOU −7.0mkt −10.5
- Total
- 42.0mkt 42.5
- HOU covers
- 37%
- Over 42.5
- 49%
- Median score
- 17–24
NYG's listed starter J.J. McCarthy didn't start last week (J.Winston did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYG's biggest win to HOU's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger HOU wins. Filled dots are sims where HOU covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYG covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYG's biggest win to HOU's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger HOU wins. Filled dots are sims where HOU covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYG covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
HOU covers −10.5 in 37%
Players
NYG GiantsFantasy points, PPR
- Malik Nabers WR72 rec yds · 6.8 catches · 0.4 TD16.211–21
- Isaiah Likely TE67 rec yds · 6.4 catches · 0.3 TD15.110–20
- J.J. McCarthy QB224 pass yds · 1.2 pass TD · 15 rush yds13.19–17
- Cam Skattebo RB59 rush yds · 12 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.4 TD11.06–15
- Dominic Zvada KField goals and extra points6.63–9
- Malachi Fields WR28 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.1 TD6.33–9
Giants D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.32–8- Darnell Mooney WR22 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD5.12–7
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB12 rush yds · 8 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD3.51–5
- Devin Singletary RB9 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.40–3
- Theo Johnson TEDoubtful · plays in 25% of sims0.5
HOU TexansFantasy points, PPR
- Woody Marks RB88 rush yds · 22 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.8 TD18.112–23
- C.J. Stroud QB245 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 24 rush yds17.613–22
- Dalton Schultz TE47 rec yds · 4.2 catches · 0.3 TD10.86–15
- Xavier Hutchinson WR44 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.3 TD10.46–14
- Nico Collins WR41 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.3 TD9.95–14
Texans D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.85–12- Ka'imi Fairbairn KField goals and extra points8.65–11
- Jaylin Noel WR6 rush yds · 30 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–11
- Kayshon Boutte WR29 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.73–10
- Foster Moreau TE19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD4.42–6
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | NYG | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.064 | +0.005 |
| Rush offense | −0.019 | −0.016 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.013 | −0.008 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.007 | −0.020 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.080 | +0.005 |