Week 7 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
CAR covers TB coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Bank of America Stadium
TB at CAR
TB Buccaneers3-6Jalon Daniels
CAR Panthers3-5Bryce Young
- Line, published
- CAR −6.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 42.0mkt 44.5
- CAR covers
- 59%
- Over 44.5
- 43%
- Median score
- 18–24
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from TB's biggest win to CAR's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CAR wins. Filled dots are sims where CAR covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where TB covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from TB's biggest win to CAR's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CAR wins. Filled dots are sims where CAR covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where TB covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
CAR covers −3.0 in 59%
Players
TB BuccaneersFantasy points, PPR
- Bucky Irving RB73 rush yds · 31 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.6 TD17.211–22
- Jalon Daniels QB220 pass yds · 1.2 pass TD · 15 rush yds13.28–17
- Chris Godwin Jr. WR49 rec yds · 4.8 catches · 0.3 TD11.57–15
- Cade Otton TE45 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.2 TD10.26–14
- Kenny Gainwell RB13 rush yds · 27 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD8.14–11
- Ted Hurst III WR35 rec yds · 3.4 catches · 0.2 TD8.04–11
- Chase McLaughlin KField goals and extra points6.94–10
Buccaneers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.03–9- Tez Johnson WR21 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD5.02–7
- Sean Tucker RB7 rush yds0.90–1
CAR PanthersFantasy points, PPR
- Chuba Hubbard RB90 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.8 TD17.411–22
- Bryce Young QB243 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.611–20
- Tetairoa McMillan WR68 rec yds · 6.2 catches · 0.4 TD15.610–20
- Jalen Coker WR49 rec yds · 4.4 catches · 0.3 TD11.26–15
Panthers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.74–12- Ryan Fitzgerald KField goals and extra points8.35–11
- Darren Waller TE30 rec yds · 2.7 catches · 0.2 TD6.93–10
- Tommy Tremble TE27 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.2 TD6.13–9
- John Metchie III WR20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.1 TD4.62–7
- Brycen Tremayne WR13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.00–4
- AJ Dillon RB15 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.91–4
- Mitchell Evans TE11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | TB | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.080 | +0.006 |
| Rush offense | +0.004 | +0.002 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.023 | −0.005 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.008 | +0.002 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.091 | −0.002 |