Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
DAL covers ARI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· AT&T Stadium
ARI at DAL
ARI Cardinals3-6Jacoby Brissett
DAL Cowboys4-5Dak Prescott
- Line, published
- DAL −5.0mkt −7.0
- Total
- 51.0mkt 54.5
- DAL covers
- 44%
- Over 54.5
- 41%
- Median score
- 23–28
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to DAL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DAL wins. Filled dots are sims where DAL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to DAL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DAL wins. Filled dots are sims where DAL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
DAL covers −7.0 in 44%
Players
ARI CardinalsFantasy points, PPR
- Jacoby Brissett QB260 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 27 rush yds19.014–24
- Trey McBride TE82 rec yds · 7.3 catches · 0.5 TD18.612–24
- Michael Wilson WR71 rec yds · 6.4 catches · 0.5 TD16.611–22
- Tyler Allgeier RB33 rush yds · 19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.4 TD9.05–12
- Kendrick Bourne WR38 rec yds · 3.4 catches · 0.2 TD8.74–12
- Chad Ryland KField goals and extra points7.44–10
- Jeremiyah Love RB33 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.3 TD7.23–10
- Bam Knight RB21 rush yds · 11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.2 TD5.72–8
- Elijah Higgins TE18 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD4.31–6
Cardinals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed3.51–6
DAL CowboysFantasy points, PPR
- CeeDee Lamb WR95 rec yds · 8.0 catches · 0.7 TD22.015–28
- Dak Prescott QB277 pass yds · 2.1 pass TD · 16 rush yds20.516–25
- Javonte Williams RB87 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.9 TD17.811–23
- George Pickens WRQuestionable50 rec yds · 4.2 catches · 0.4 TD · plays in 80% of sims11.44–17
- Ryan Flournoy WR45 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.3 TD10.35–14
- Brandon Aubrey KField goals and extra points8.65–11
- Jake Ferguson TE27 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.2 TD6.32–9
Cowboys D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.92–9- Tyler Goodson RB20 rush yds · 0.2 TD4.72–7
- Brevyn Spann-Ford TE16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.70–5
- Jonathan Mingo WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.20–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.017 | +0.057 |
| Rush offense | +0.003 | +0.021 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.054 | +0.060 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.005 | +0.022 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.021 | +0.062 |