Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
GB covers CAR coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Lambeau Field
CAR at GB
CAR Panthers3-5Bryce Young
GB Packers6-3Jordan Love
- Line, published
- GB −7.0mkt −3.5
- Total
- 46.0mkt 46.5
- GB covers
- 61%
- Over 46.5
- 49%
- Median score
- 20–27
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CAR's biggest win to GB's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger GB wins. Filled dots are sims where GB covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CAR covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CAR's biggest win to GB's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger GB wins. Filled dots are sims where GB covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CAR covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
GB covers −3.5 in 61%
Players
CAR PanthersFantasy points, PPR
- Tetairoa McMillan WR67 rec yds · 6.2 catches · 0.4 TD15.310–20
- Chuba Hubbard RB68 rush yds · 23 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.6 TD14.99–20
- Bryce Young QB246 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 16 rush yds14.710–19
- Jalen Coker WR46 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD10.56–14
- Ryan Fitzgerald KField goals and extra points6.94–10
- Darren Waller TE28 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.2 TD6.43–9
- Tommy Tremble TE25 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.1 TD5.62–8
- John Metchie III WR23 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.1 TD5.32–8
Panthers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed4.41–7- Mitchell Evans TE12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
- Brycen Tremayne WR12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.80–4
- Trevor Etienne RB6 rush yds1.70–2
- AJ Dillon RB10 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.50–2
GB PackersFantasy points, PPR
- Jordan Love QB266 pass yds · 1.9 pass TD · 16 rush yds19.114–23
- Christian Watson WR66 rec yds · 5.7 catches · 0.5 TD15.09–20
- Matthew Golden WRQuestionable62 rec yds · 5.4 catches · 0.4 TD · plays in 80% of sims14.27–21
- Tucker Kraft TE53 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.4 TD12.17–16
- MarShawn Lloyd RB41 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.5 TD10.86–15
- Trey Smack KField goals and extra points8.75–11
Packers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed7.94–11- Pierre Strong RB18 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.3 TD6.43–9
- Josh Jacobs RB14 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.2 TD5.12–7
- Kaleb Johnson RB24 rush yds · 0.2 TD3.61–5
- Savion Williams WR12 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD3.51–5
- Bo Melton WR13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CAR | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.006 | +0.067 |
| Rush offense | +0.001 | −0.031 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.004 | −0.027 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.008 | −0.005 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.012 | +0.080 |