Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
SEA covers CHI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Lumen Field
CHI at SEA
CHI Bears7-2Caleb Williams
SEA Seahawks5-4Sam Darnold
- Line, published
- SEA −3.0mkt −3.5
- Total
- 44.0mkt 46.5
- SEA covers
- 46%
- Over 46.5
- 43%
- Median score
- 21–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CHI's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CHI's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
SEA covers −3.5 in 46%
Players
CHI BearsFantasy points, PPR
- D'Andre Swift RB66 rush yds · 32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.7 TD16.911–22
- Caleb Williams QB243 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.811–20
- Colston Loveland TE57 rec yds · 5.2 catches · 0.4 TD13.18–17
- Luther Burden III WR53 rec yds · 4.8 catches · 0.4 TD12.88–17
- Rome Odunze WR46 rec yds · 4.2 catches · 0.3 TD10.56–14
- Cairo Santos KField goals and extra points7.34–10
- Kalif Raymond WR27 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.1 TD6.13–9
- Roschon Johnson RB18 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.2 TD5.82–8
Bears D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.62–8
SEA SeahawksFantasy points, PPR
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR100 rec yds · 9.0 catches · 0.6 TD23.317–29
- Emanuel Wilson RB88 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.7 TD15.810–21
- Sam Darnold QB235 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.411–19
- AJ Barner TE41 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.3 TD9.95–14
- Cooper Kupp WR37 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD8.44–12
- Jason Myers KField goals and extra points8.05–11
- George Holani RB23 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.3 TD7.44–10
Seahawks D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–9- Tory Horton WR16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.71–5
- Eric Saubert TE7 rec yds · 0.6 catches1.60–2
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CHI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.060 | +0.017 |
| Rush offense | +0.003 | −0.017 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.005 | −0.047 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.010 | −0.020 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.067 | +0.018 |