Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
PIT covers CLE coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Acrisure Stadium
CLE at PIT
CLE Browns5-4Deshaun Watson
PIT Steelers6-2Aaron Rodgers
- Line, published
- PIT −4.0mkt −3.5
- Total
- 41.0mkt 38.5
- PIT covers
- 51%
- Over 38.5
- 59%
- Median score
- 19–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to PIT's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger PIT wins. Filled dots are sims where PIT covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to PIT's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger PIT wins. Filled dots are sims where PIT covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
PIT covers −3.5 in 51%
Players
CLE BrownsFantasy points, PPR
- Deshaun Watson QB226 pass yds · 1.2 pass TD · 26 rush yds14.610–19
- Quinshon Judkins RB55 rush yds · 22 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.5 TD12.67–17
- KC Concepcion WR5 rush yds · 52 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.3 TD12.47–16
- Denzel Boston WR50 rec yds · 4.7 catches · 0.3 TD11.27–15
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE46 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD10.56–14
- Andre Szmyt KField goals and extra points7.24–10
Browns D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–10- Jerry Jeudy WR27 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.1 TD6.13–9
- Jaleel McLaughlin RB9 rush yds · 8 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD3.11–4
- Isaiah Bond WR11 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
- Dylan Sampson RB6 rush yds2.00–3
- Audric Estimé RB8 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.10–1
PIT SteelersFantasy points, PPR
- Jaylen Warren RB82 rush yds · 35 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.8 TD20.013–26
- DK Metcalf WR61 rec yds · 5.7 catches · 0.4 TD14.39–19
- Aaron Rodgers QB232 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds14.310–18
- Germie Bernard WR49 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.3 TD11.26–15
Steelers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.34–12- Pat Freiermuth TE35 rec yds · 3.2 catches · 0.2 TD8.24–11
- Chris Boswell KField goals and extra points8.05–11
- Rico Dowdle RB22 rush yds · 18 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.3 TD7.33–10
- Darnell Washington TE27 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.13–9
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.057 | −0.038 |
| Rush offense | −0.010 | +0.024 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.017 | 0.000 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.004 | −0.011 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.067 | −0.042 |