Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
JAX covers IND coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· EverBank Stadium
IND at JAX
IND Colts2-7Daniel Jones
JAX Jaguars6-2Trevor Lawrence
- Line, published
- JAX −7.0mkt −10.0
- Total
- 45.0mkt 46.5
- JAX covers
- 42%
- Over 46.5
- 46%
- Median score
- 18–27
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from IND's biggest win to JAX's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger JAX wins. Filled dots are sims where JAX covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where IND covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from IND's biggest win to JAX's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger JAX wins. Filled dots are sims where JAX covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where IND covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
JAX covers −10.0 in 42%
Players
IND ColtsFantasy points, PPR
- Jonathan Taylor RB71 rush yds · 26 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.6 TD15.810–21
- Daniel Jones QB220 pass yds · 1.2 pass TD · 21 rush yds13.69–18
- Josh Downs WR47 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD10.86–14
- Keenan Allen WR44 rec yds · 4.2 catches · 0.2 TD10.06–14
- Tyler Warren TE32 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.44–10
- Laquon Treadwell WR30 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD6.83–10
- Spencer Shrader KField goals and extra points6.74–9
Colts D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed4.31–7- Will Mallory TE13 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.00–4
- Seth McGowan RB21 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.91–4
- Deion Burks WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.30–3
- Mo Alie-Cox TE8 rec yds · 0.8 catches1.90–3
JAX JaguarsFantasy points, PPR
- Trevor Lawrence QB246 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 15 rush yds17.613–22
- Bhayshul Tuten RB79 rush yds · 21 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.8 TD16.710–22
- Parker Washington WR66 rec yds · 5.7 catches · 0.5 TD15.19–20
- Brenton Strange TE50 rec yds · 4.4 catches · 0.4 TD11.56–16
- Cam Little KField goals and extra points8.65–11
Jaguars D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.24–11- Jakobi Meyers WRQuestionable33 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims7.62–12
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB33 rush yds · 0.3 TD5.72–8
- Brian Thomas Jr. WR25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD5.72–8
- Josh Cameron WR18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.11–6
- Nate Boerkircher TE13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
- Travis Hunter CB10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.30–3
- Ameer Abdullah RB6 rush yds0.90–1
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | IND | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.065 | +0.047 |
| Rush offense | +0.032 | +0.009 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.011 | −0.004 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.008 | −0.007 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.067 | +0.049 |