Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
LA covers LAC coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· SoFi Stadium
LAC at LA
LAC Chargers0-8Justin Herbert
LA Rams5-4Matthew Stafford
- Line, published
- LA −8.0mkt −6.5
- Total
- 41.0mkt 45.5
- LA covers
- 57%
- Over 45.5
- 37%
- Median score
- 17–25
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LAC's biggest win to LA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LA wins. Filled dots are sims where LA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LAC covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LAC's biggest win to LA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger LA wins. Filled dots are sims where LA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LAC covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
LA covers −6.5 in 57%
Players
LAC ChargersFantasy points, PPR
- Justin Herbert QB213 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 20 rush yds12.48–16
- Omarion Hampton RB46 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.3 TD9.65–13
- Keaton Mitchell RB21 rush yds · 22 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD7.94–11
- Tre Harris WR32 rec yds · 3.1 catches · 0.2 TD7.23–10
- Oronde Gadsden II TE31 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.03–10
- Cameron Dicker KField goals and extra points6.43–9
- Quentin Johnston WR27 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.1 TD6.43–9
- Kimani Vidal RB15 rush yds · 19 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.2 TD6.33–9
Chargers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.22–8- Ladd McConkey WR21 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Charlie Kolar TE21 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR17 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD3.81–5
- Theo Wease Jr. WR7 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.60–2
LA RamsFantasy points, PPR
- Kyren Williams RB67 rush yds · 48 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.9 TD21.114–27
- Puka Nacua WR74 rec yds · 6.7 catches · 0.5 TD17.712–23
- Matthew Stafford QB241 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 15 rush yds16.112–20
- Blake Corum RB45 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.5 TD10.66–14
Rams D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed9.45–13- Tyler Higbee TE38 rec yds · 3.4 catches · 0.2 TD8.74–12
- Brandon McManus KField goals and extra points8.65–12
- Konata Mumpfield WR21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.92–7
- Colby Parkinson TEQuestionable19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims4.40–7
- Davis Allen TE17 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.11–6
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | LAC | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.071 | +0.038 |
| Rush offense | −0.022 | +0.014 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.029 | −0.024 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.002 | −0.013 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.070 | +0.049 |