Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NYJ covers LV coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· MetLife Stadium
LV at NYJ
LV Raiders4-5Kirk Cousins
NYJ Jets2-7Geno Smith
- Line, published
- NYJ −2.0mkt −1.5
- Total
- 43.0mkt 46.5
- NYJ covers
- 52%
- Over 46.5
- 41%
- Median score
- 21–23
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LV's biggest win to NYJ's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYJ wins. Filled dots are sims where NYJ covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LV covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LV's biggest win to NYJ's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYJ wins. Filled dots are sims where NYJ covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LV covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NYJ covers −1.5 in 52%
Players
LV RaidersFantasy points, PPR
- Ashton Jeanty RB56 rush yds · 43 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.6 TD17.712–23
- Kirk Cousins QB248 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.911–20
- Brock Bowers TE59 rec yds · 5.3 catches · 0.4 TD13.38–18
- Tre Tucker WR50 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD11.67–16
- Michael Mayer TE33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–11
- Matt Gay KField goals and extra points7.44–10
Raiders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.13–9- Mike Washington Jr. RB25 rush yds · 0.2 TD5.12–7
- Cody White WR20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.1 TD4.62–6
- Jalen Nailor WR18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.11–6
- Malik Benson WR8 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.70–2
- Dylan Laube RB1.70–2
NYJ JetsFantasy points, PPR
- Braelon Allen RB79 rush yds · 31 rec yds · 2.8 catches · 0.8 TD18.512–24
- Geno Smith QB235 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.511–20
- Garrett Wilson WR62 rec yds · 5.6 catches · 0.4 TD14.29–19
- Jason Sanders KField goals and extra points7.85–11
- Kenyon Sadiq TE30 rec yds · 2.7 catches · 0.2 TD6.83–9
Jets D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–9- Mason Taylor TE27 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.23–9
- Omar Cooper Jr. WR22 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD5.12–7
- Adonai Mitchell WR18 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.11–6
- Isaiah Davis RB10 rush yds · 11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD4.01–6
- Isaiah Williams WR16 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.91–5
- Breece Hall RBQuestionable15 rush yds · 7 rec yds · 0.6 catches · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims3.61–5
- Tim Patrick WR10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.30–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | LV | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.006 | −0.024 |
| Rush offense | −0.036 | −0.012 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.016 | +0.021 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.002 | −0.006 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.002 | −0.031 |