Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
DET covers MIN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Ford Field
MIN at DET
MIN Vikings6-2Kyler Murray
DET Lions6-2Jared Goff
- Line, published
- DET −3.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 44.0mkt 46.5
- DET covers
- 50%
- Over 46.5
- 45%
- Median score
- 21–24
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from MIN's biggest win to DET's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DET wins. Filled dots are sims where DET covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where MIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from MIN's biggest win to DET's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger DET wins. Filled dots are sims where DET covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where MIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
DET covers −3.0 in 50%
Players
MIN VikingsFantasy points, PPR
- Aaron Jones RB67 rush yds · 33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.7 TD17.111–22
- Kyler Murray QB242 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.411–20
- T.J. Hockenson TE53 rec yds · 4.8 catches · 0.3 TD12.07–16
- Justin Jefferson WR50 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.3 TD11.57–15
- Jordan Addison WR40 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.2 TD9.25–12
- Will Reichard KField goals and extra points7.34–10
Vikings D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.52–8- Jordan Mason RB19 rush yds · 0.1 TD3.81–5
- Gavin Bartholomew TE16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.71–5
- Jauan Jennings WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.20–5
- Tai Felton WR13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.00–4
- Myles Price WR13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
DET LionsFantasy points, PPR
- Jahmyr Gibbs RB90 rush yds · 46 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 1.0 TD23.717–30
- Amon-Ra St. Brown WR78 rec yds · 6.9 catches · 0.5 TD17.812–23
- Jared Goff QB249 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 16 rush yds16.912–21
- Jameson Williams WR44 rec yds · 4.0 catches · 0.3 TD10.25–14
- Sam LaPorta TE42 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.3 TD9.75–13
- Jake Bates KField goals and extra points8.05–11
Lions D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.93–10- Isaac TeSlaa WR24 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.2 TD5.62–8
- Sione Vaki RB11 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.81–4
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | MIN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.029 | +0.094 |
| Rush offense | −0.023 | −0.007 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.066 | +0.033 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.020 | +0.006 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.028 | +0.110 |