Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
WAS covers PHI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Northwest Stadium
PHI at WAS
PHI Eagles2-7Jalen Hurts
WAS Commanders3-5-1Jayden Daniels
- Line, published
- WAS −3.0mkt −6.0
- Total
- 45.0mkt 40.5
- WAS covers
- 41%
- Over 40.5
- 63%
- Median score
- 21–24
PHI's listed starter Jalen Hurts didn't start last week (T.McKee did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from PHI's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where PHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from PHI's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where PHI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
WAS covers −6.0 in 41%
Players
PHI EaglesFantasy points, PPR
- Makai Lemon WR74 rec yds · 6.8 catches · 0.4 TD17.211–22
- Jalen Hurts QB240 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.111–19
- Dallas Goedert TE64 rec yds · 5.8 catches · 0.4 TD14.59–19
- Saquon Barkley RB76 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.6 TD14.19–19
- Darius Cooper WR38 rec yds · 3.5 catches · 0.2 TD8.74–12
- Jake Elliott KField goals and extra points7.44–10
Eagles D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.42–8- Elijah Mitchell RB12 rush yds · 11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.2 TD4.21–6
- Marquise Brown WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.81–5
- Johnny Mundt TE11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.50–4
- Elijah Moore WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–4
WAS CommandersFantasy points, PPR
- Jayden Daniels QB242 pass yds · 1.6 pass TD · 22 rush yds16.912–21
- Rachaad White RB71 rush yds · 25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.7 TD16.110–21
- Stefon Diggs WR60 rec yds · 5.4 catches · 0.4 TD13.88–18
- Antonio Williams WR43 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.3 TD9.95–14
- Chig Okonkwo TE37 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD8.54–12
- Drew Stevens KField goals and extra points8.05–11
Commanders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–10- Treylon Burks WRQuestionable26 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims5.81–9
- Dyami Brown WR25 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD5.72–8
- Austin Ekeler RB18 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.2 TD5.02–7
- Jeremy McNichols RB13 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.90–2
- John Bates TEQuestionable7 rec yds · 0.6 catches · plays in 80% of sims1.60–2
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | PHI | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.015 | +0.003 |
| Rush offense | −0.010 | −0.009 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.011 | +0.022 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.017 | −0.001 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.004 | +0.007 |