Week 8 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
CIN covers TEN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Paycor Stadium
TEN at CIN
TEN Titans1-7Cam Ward
CIN Bengals6-2Joe Burrow
- Line, published
- CIN −12.0mkt −12.5
- Total
- 44.0mkt 46.5
- CIN covers
- 49%
- Over 46.5
- 43%
- Median score
- 16–28
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from TEN's biggest win to CIN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CIN wins. Filled dots are sims where CIN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where TEN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from TEN's biggest win to CIN's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CIN wins. Filled dots are sims where CIN covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where TEN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
CIN covers −12.5 in 49%
Players
TEN TitansFantasy points, PPR
- Tony Pollard RB81 rush yds · 26 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 0.6 TD17.011–22
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR72 rec yds · 7.1 catches · 0.3 TD16.511–21
- Cam Ward QB208 pass yds · 1.0 pass TD · 14 rush yds11.47–15
- Elic Ayomanor WR36 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.2 TD8.24–11
- Joey Slye KField goals and extra points6.03–9
- Gunnar Helm TE23 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.1 TD5.22–7
- Daniel Bellinger TE20 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.52–6
Titans D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed3.91–6- Calvin Ridley WRQuestionable14 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims3.30–5
- Chimere Dike WR12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
- Nicholas Singleton RB0.60–1
CIN BengalsFantasy points, PPR
- Chase Brown RB78 rush yds · 44 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 1.0 TD22.215–28
- Joe Burrow QB260 pass yds · 1.9 pass TD · 21 rush yds19.214–24
- Tee Higgins WR67 rec yds · 5.8 catches · 0.5 TD15.410–20
- Ja'Marr Chase WR61 rec yds · 5.3 catches · 0.4 TD14.08–19
Bengals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed10.06–13- Evan McPherson KField goals and extra points9.26–12
- Samaje Perine RB32 rush yds · 12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.4 TD7.94–11
- Dohnte Meyers WR28 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
- Mike Gesicki TE22 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.2 TD5.12–7
- Mitchell Tinsley WR11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
- Drew Sample TE11 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | TEN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.106 | +0.040 |
| Rush offense | −0.009 | +0.006 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.037 | −0.016 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.012 | −0.003 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.122 | +0.043 |