Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
SEA covers ARI coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Lumen Field
ARI at SEA
ARI Cardinals3-6Gardner Minshew
SEA Seahawks5-4Drew Lock
- Line, published
- SEA −6.0mkt −8.5
- Total
- 41.0mkt 39.5
- SEA covers
- 41%
- Over 39.5
- 56%
- Median score
- 17–24
SEA's listed starter Drew Lock didn't start last week (S.Darnold did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from ARI's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where ARI covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
SEA covers −8.5 in 41%
Players
ARI CardinalsFantasy points, PPR
- Michael Wilson WR81 rec yds · 7.8 catches · 0.5 TD19.013–24
- Trey McBride TE77 rec yds · 7.4 catches · 0.4 TD17.512–22
- Tyler Allgeier RB68 rush yds · 23 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.6 TD14.69–19
- Gardner Minshew QB221 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 15 rush yds12.28–16
- Chad Ryland KField goals and extra points6.73–9
Cardinals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.42–8- Elijah Higgins TE23 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.1 TD5.22–7
- Jacoby Brissett QB18 rush yds2.81–4
- Reggie Virgil WR9 rec yds · 0.9 catches2.10–3
SEA SeahawksFantasy points, PPR
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR90 rec yds · 8.0 catches · 0.6 TD20.814–26
- Drew Lock QB233 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.311–19
- Emanuel Wilson RB69 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.6 TD12.37–16
- AJ Barner TE40 rec yds · 3.5 catches · 0.3 TD9.55–13
Seahawks D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed9.15–12- Jason Myers KField goals and extra points8.45–11
- Cooper Kupp WR33 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.53–11
- George Holani RB20 rush yds · 15 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.2 TD6.33–9
- Tory Horton WR23 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD5.22–7
- Jadarian Price RB13 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.2 TD4.21–6
- Zach Charbonnet RB7 rush yds · 7 rec yds · 0.6 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | ARI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.047 | −0.030 |
| Rush offense | +0.007 | −0.020 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.049 | −0.045 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.016 | −0.006 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.057 | −0.041 |