Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
ATL covers CIN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Bernabeu
CIN at ATL
CIN Bengals6-2Joe Burrow
ATL Falcons3-6Michael Penix Jr.
- Line, published
- ATL −1.0mkt +3.0
- Total
- 45.0mkt 52.5
- ATL covers
- 58%
- Over 52.5
- 30%
- Median score
- 23–23
ATL's listed starter Michael Penix Jr. didn't start last week (M.Penix did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CIN's biggest win to ATL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger ATL wins. Filled dots are sims where ATL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CIN's biggest win to ATL's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger ATL wins. Filled dots are sims where ATL covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CIN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
ATL covers +3.0 in 58%
Players
CIN BengalsFantasy points, PPR
- Chase Brown RB58 rush yds · 46 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 0.7 TD18.912–24
- Joe Burrow QB262 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 16 rush yds17.613–22
- Ja'Marr Chase WR72 rec yds · 6.5 catches · 0.5 TD16.511–21
- Tee Higgins WR67 rec yds · 6.0 catches · 0.4 TD15.210–20
- Evan McPherson KField goals and extra points7.75–11
- Dohnte Meyers WR26 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.2 TD6.02–9
Bengals D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.92–9- Samaje Perine RB24 rush yds · 9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.2 TD5.62–8
- Mike Gesicki TE23 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD5.22–7
- Mitchell Tinsley WR10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.20–3
ATL FalconsFantasy points, PPR
- Bijan Robinson RB116 rush yds · 28 rec yds · 2.6 catches · 1.1 TD23.316–29
- Drake London WR79 rec yds · 7.1 catches · 0.5 TD17.912–23
- Michael Penix Jr. QB227 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 21 rush yds15.411–20
- Kyle Pitts TE44 rec yds · 4.0 catches · 0.3 TD10.05–14
- Jahan Dotson WR36 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.2 TD8.24–11
- Nick Folk KField goals and extra points7.85–11
Falcons D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.33–9- Olamide Zaccheaus WR14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.1 TD3.10–4
- Charlie Woerner TE10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.40–3
- Austin Hooper TE10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.30–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CIN | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.061 | −0.033 |
| Rush offense | −0.004 | +0.017 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.011 | −0.030 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.001 | −0.008 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.065 | −0.029 |