Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NO covers CLE coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Caesars Superdome
CLE at NO
CLE Browns5-4Shedeur Sanders
NO Saints3-5Tyler Shough
- Line, published
- NO −4.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 41.0mkt 42.5
- NO covers
- 55%
- Over 42.5
- 45%
- Median score
- 18–23
CLE's listed starter Shedeur Sanders didn't start last week (D.Watson did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to NO's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NO wins. Filled dots are sims where NO covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from CLE's biggest win to NO's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NO wins. Filled dots are sims where NO covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where CLE covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NO covers −3.0 in 55%
Players
CLE BrownsFantasy points, PPR
- Quinshon Judkins RB65 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.5 TD12.98–17
- Shedeur Sanders QB220 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 14 rush yds12.18–16
- Denzel Boston WR51 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.3 TD11.57–15
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE50 rec yds · 4.9 catches · 0.3 TD11.47–15
- KC Concepcion WR5 rush yds · 43 rec yds · 4.1 catches · 0.3 TD10.56–14
- Andre Szmyt KField goals and extra points7.04–10
Browns D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.43–9- Jerry Jeudy WR22 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.1 TD5.02–7
- Dylan Sampson RB8 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Jaleel McLaughlin RB9 rush yds · 0.1 TD2.61–4
- Isaiah Bond WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches2.00–3
- Deshaun Watson QBQuestionable10 rush yds · plays in 80% of sims1.40–2
NO SaintsFantasy points, PPR
- Tyler Shough QB230 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 25 rush yds15.911–20
- Chris Olave WR65 rec yds · 5.9 catches · 0.4 TD14.89–19
- Alvin Kamara RB42 rush yds · 32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.5 TD13.38–17
- Kendre Miller RB58 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.5 TD12.07–16
- Devaughn Vele WR43 rec yds · 4.0 catches · 0.3 TD9.95–14
Saints D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.75–12- NO kicker KField goals and extra points8.15–11
- Juwan Johnson TE32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.23–10
- Bryce Lance WR21 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.1 TD4.92–7
- Noah Fant TE9 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | CLE | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.105 | −0.021 |
| Rush offense | −0.014 | −0.015 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.014 | +0.016 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.003 | +0.019 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.129 | −0.025 |