Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
CAR covers DEN coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Bank of America Stadium
DEN at CAR
DEN Broncos7-2Bo Nix
CAR Panthers3-5Bryce Young
- Line, published
- CAR +1.0mkt +2.5
- Total
- 44.0mkt 44.5
- CAR covers
- 53%
- Over 44.5
- 49%
- Median score
- 23–22
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from DEN's biggest win to CAR's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CAR wins. Filled dots are sims where CAR covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where DEN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from DEN's biggest win to CAR's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger CAR wins. Filled dots are sims where CAR covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where DEN covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
CAR covers +2.5 in 53%
Players
DEN BroncosFantasy points, PPR
- Bo Nix QB239 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 26 rush yds16.912–21
- Jaylen Waddle WR66 rec yds · 6.0 catches · 0.4 TD15.210–20
- J.K. Dobbins RB66 rush yds · 14 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.6 TD12.77–17
- Courtland Sutton WR47 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD10.76–15
- Wil Lutz KField goals and extra points7.74–11
- Evan Engram TE33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.53–11
- Jonah Coleman RB24 rush yds · 16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.3 TD7.13–10
Broncos D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.73–10- Marvin Mims Jr. WR26 rec yds · 2.4 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
- Troy Franklin WR15 rec yds · 1.4 catches · 0.1 TD3.40–5
- Adam Trautman TE8 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD1.90–3
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR8 rec yds · 0.7 catches1.70–2
CAR PanthersFantasy points, PPR
- Chuba Hubbard RB86 rush yds · 30 rec yds · 2.8 catches · 0.8 TD19.213–25
- Tetairoa McMillan WR67 rec yds · 6.1 catches · 0.4 TD15.210–20
- Bryce Young QB240 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds14.910–19
- Jalen Coker WR40 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.2 TD9.25–13
- Ryan Fitzgerald KField goals and extra points7.74–10
Panthers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.33–9- Darren Waller TE25 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.1 TD5.72–8
- John Metchie III WR24 rec yds · 2.2 catches · 0.2 TD5.62–8
- Tommy Tremble TE22 rec yds · 2.1 catches · 0.1 TD5.12–7
- Mitchell Evans TE12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.90–4
- Brycen Tremayne WR12 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.70–4
- Trevor Etienne RB7 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.70–2
- AJ Dillon RB8 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.20–1
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | DEN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | 0.000 | −0.006 |
| Rush offense | +0.009 | +0.002 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.036 | +0.010 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.003 | +0.010 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.001 | −0.011 |