Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NE covers GB coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Gillette Stadium
GB at NE
GB Packers6-3Jordan Love
NE Patriots5-4Drake Maye
- Line, published
- NE −2.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 47.0mkt 44.5
- NE covers
- 46%
- Over 44.5
- 56%
- Median score
- 23–24
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from GB's biggest win to NE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NE wins. Filled dots are sims where NE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where GB covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from GB's biggest win to NE's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NE wins. Filled dots are sims where NE covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where GB covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NE covers −3.0 in 46%
Players
GB PackersFantasy points, PPR
- Matthew Golden WR81 rec yds · 7.1 catches · 0.5 TD18.412–24
- Jordan Love QB266 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 16 rush yds17.913–22
- Christian Watson WR59 rec yds · 5.2 catches · 0.4 TD13.48–18
- Tucker Kraft TE49 rec yds · 4.3 catches · 0.3 TD11.06–15
- Josh Jacobs RB31 rush yds · 20 rec yds · 1.8 catches · 0.4 TD9.25–12
- Trey Smack KField goals and extra points7.74–10
- MarShawn Lloyd RBQuestionable21 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.2 TD · plays in 80% of sims5.82–9
Packers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.42–8- Pierre Strong RB14 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.2 TD4.92–7
- Savion Williams WR13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.1 TD3.61–5
- Bo Melton WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.20–3
- Kaleb Johnson RB13 rush yds · 0.1 TD1.90–2
NE PatriotsFantasy points, PPR
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB64 rush yds · 41 rec yds · 3.6 catches · 0.8 TD18.712–24
- Drake Maye QB255 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 22 rush yds18.013–22
- DeMario Douglas WR61 rec yds · 5.3 catches · 0.4 TD13.88–18
- Hunter Henry TEQuestionable44 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims10.03–15
- Eli Raridon TE43 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.3 TD9.85–14
- Efton Chism III WR42 rec yds · 3.7 catches · 0.3 TD9.65–13
- Andy Borregales KField goals and extra points8.05–11
Patriots D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.03–9- Corey Kiner RB30 rush yds · 0.2 TD5.32–8
- Kyle Williams WR22 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD5.02–7
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | GB | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.068 | +0.070 |
| Rush offense | −0.032 | −0.017 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.034 | −0.015 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.008 | −0.008 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.080 | +0.079 |