Week 9 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
WAS covers LA coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Northwest Stadium
LA at WAS
LA Rams5-4Matthew Stafford
WAS Commanders3-5-1Jayden Daniels
- Line, published
- WAS +4.0mkt +4.5
- Total
- 45.0mkt 47.5
- WAS covers
- 53%
- Over 47.5
- 44%
- Median score
- 24–21
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 12 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LA's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from LA's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where LA covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
WAS covers +4.5 in 53%
Players
LA RamsFantasy points, PPR
- Puka Nacua WR88 rec yds · 7.8 catches · 0.6 TD20.814–26
- Kyren Williams RB62 rush yds · 44 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.8 TD19.013–24
- Matthew Stafford QB255 pass yds · 1.7 pass TD · 16 rush yds17.213–21
- Blake Corum RB40 rush yds · 17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.4 TD9.85–13
- Tyler Higbee TE38 rec yds · 3.3 catches · 0.3 TD8.64–12
- Brandon McManus KField goals and extra points8.25–11
Rams D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.93–10- Konata Mumpfield WR21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.82–7
- Davis Allen TE19 rec yds · 1.6 catches · 0.1 TD4.42–6
- Colby Parkinson TEQuestionable17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD · plays in 80% of sims3.80–6
- Tutu Atwell WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
WAS CommandersFantasy points, PPR
- Rachaad White RB63 rush yds · 32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.7 TD16.410–21
- Stefon Diggs WR70 rec yds · 6.4 catches · 0.4 TD16.010–21
- Jayden Daniels QB243 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.511–20
- Antonio Williams WR61 rec yds · 5.5 catches · 0.4 TD13.78–18
- Chig Okonkwo TE48 rec yds · 4.4 catches · 0.3 TD10.96–15
- Drew Stevens KField goals and extra points7.34–10
- Austin Ekeler RB28 rush yds · 11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.3 TD6.63–9
Commanders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed5.22–8
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | LA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.041 | +0.001 |
| Rush offense | +0.016 | −0.011 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.028 | +0.021 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.019 | +0.001 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.051 | +0.005 |