Week 10 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
NYG covers WAS coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· MetLife Stadium
WAS at NYG
WAS Commanders3-5-1Jayden Daniels
NYG Giants5-3-1J.J. McCarthy
- Line, published
- NYG −1.0mkt −1.5
- Total
- 43.0mkt 40.5
- NYG covers
- 49%
- Over 40.5
- 56%
- Median score
- 21–21
Typical NFL range: the middle two-thirds of sims land within about 13 points of the median.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from WAS's biggest win to NYG's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYG wins. Filled dots are sims where NYG covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where WAS covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from WAS's biggest win to NYG's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger NYG wins. Filled dots are sims where NYG covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where WAS covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
NYG covers −1.5 in 49%
Players
WAS CommandersFantasy points, PPR
- Jayden Daniels QB238 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.311–19
- Rachaad White RB56 rush yds · 22 rec yds · 2.0 catches · 0.5 TD13.08–17
- Stefon Diggs WR50 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.3 TD11.47–15
- Antonio Williams WR49 rec yds · 4.5 catches · 0.3 TD11.36–15
- Chig Okonkwo TE46 rec yds · 4.2 catches · 0.3 TD10.56–14
- Austin Ekeler RB36 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.2 catches · 0.3 TD8.24–11
- Drew Stevens KField goals and extra points7.54–10
- Treylon Burks WR32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.23–10
Commanders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.53–9- Van Jefferson WR16 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.71–5
NYG GiantsFantasy points, PPR
- Malik Nabers WR78 rec yds · 7.2 catches · 0.5 TD17.812–23
- J.J. McCarthy QB225 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 20 rush yds14.710–19
- Isaiah Likely TE60 rec yds · 5.4 catches · 0.4 TD13.68–18
- Cam Skattebo RB57 rush yds · 9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.5 TD10.25–14
- Dominic Zvada KField goals and extra points7.74–10
- Devin Singletary RB36 rush yds · 10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.3 TD7.54–10
- Malachi Fields WR32 rec yds · 2.9 catches · 0.2 TD7.23–10
Giants D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.93–10- Darnell Mooney WR25 rec yds · 2.3 catches · 0.2 TD6.43–9
- Jameis Winston QB8 rush yds1.20–1
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | WAS | NYG |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.005 | −0.047 |
| Rush offense | −0.010 | −0.013 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.015 | −0.005 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.007 | +0.001 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.008 | −0.062 |